Identify the main problems facing private-sector managers arising from an "ageing" workforce

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Identify the main problems facing private-sector managers arising from an “ageing” workforce. (25%)

The population of the world is getting older and this is one of the most critical demographic events in the world today. Present demographic trends show that in the next few decades the older population will substantially grow, partially reinforced by the ageing of the generation of baby-boomers, and while at the same time the number of young people and adults is forecast to fall. An old person is someone who has passed working age and retired-usually someone who is 65 years old or older. The United Nations found that the ranks of 60 year olds and older are growing 1.9% a year, which is 60% faster than the overall world population. They predicted that by the year 2050, there may be four people age 15-65 worldwide. Currently the ratio in year 2000 is nine to one. These indicate that the elderly will outnumber the children, BusinessWeek (Jan 2005).

The ageing of population happens because the numbers of birth rates have declined, or are declining, almost everywhere, and also because older people are surviving to enjoy longer lives. In richer countries, their birth and death rates started to decline in the 19th century or earlier. In the case of Japan, this transition has been particularly rapid and did not begin until the 20th century. In the poorer countries of the world, rapid declines in birth and death rates have only emerged in the last few decades and for some countries the process has not even begun. But then again, most demographers believe that eventually the whole world will have fewer children and have long lives.

There are three main effect of population ageing. The first one is slower economic growth. When a large part of the population starts to move from pre-retirement to the post-retirement age group, the effect is that it slower down the growth of the working age population. This means that there will be lower growth in per capita incomes and lower growth in the total economy. For example, in Japan their working age population is already falling, and this is one of the reasons why potential growth there is lower than it was two or three decades ago. The second effect of population ageing is that it will put a strain on government budgets and the third effect is on the financial markets.

The United Nation projected that in the European Union (EU) by the next 30 years people over the age of 60 will grow by 50% and the number of adult between the ages of 20-59 will fall by 6%. In particular, the numbers of those aged 20-29 will fall by 9 million. In the UK, the percentage of persons over the age of 65 has already tripled from 5% to 15%, Business Week (Jan, 2005). These figures indicate a constant decreasing at the working population and a continuous ageing of the workforce.  The ageing of the existing workforce, combined with the reduced inflow of young people into the labour market and the trend towards early retirement poses a number of problems for many private sectors.

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One major problem that the private sector human resource managers face is shortage of labour. The human resource managers are finding it difficult to hire new employees within certain criteria. Even if they can find qualified candidates, the company must still invest in training to further increase their production. The continuous increase in the number over 50-year-olds in the labour supply is currently for many companies not as noticeable as the shortage of skilled labour. The shortage of skilled labour is currently aggravated by the predatory competition between companies on the labour market for young qualified technically skilled person ...

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