The Difference Between Actual Growth and Potential Growth

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David Pearce

The Difference Between Actual Growth and Potential Growth

There are two different types of economic growth, known as actual growth and potential growth.

Actual growth is the percentage annual increase in national input: the rate of growth in actual output. When statistics on growth rates are published, it is actual growth they are referring to.

Potential growth is the speed at which economy could grow. It is the percentage annual increase in the economy’s capacity to produce: the rate of growth in potential output. Two of the major factors contributing to potential growth are:

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  • An increase in resources – natural resources, labour or capital

  • An increase in the efficiency with which these resources are used, through advances in technology, improved labour skills or improved organisation.

There will be an increase in space capacity and an increase in unemployment if the potential growth rate exceeds the actual growth rate. This will result in a growing gap between potential and actual output. To close this gap, the actual growth rate would temporarily have to exceed the potential growth rate.

There are thus two major issues concerned with economic growth: the short-run issue ...

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