The Neo-Malthusian Population Trap

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The Neo-Malthusian Population Trap

Thomas Malthus was a reverend in the 18th Century who claimed that population growth and economic development are related. According to him the population of a country grew at a geometric rate, while per capita income grew at an arithmetic rate. This meant that any country that would not be able to lower its population growth, would reach a level where it would barely be able to live above subsistence level. He claimed that there were two ways of overcoming this fate and bringing back the balance between population and resources. The first was through positive checks, such as disease, famine or war; and the second through "moral constraint." Nowadays this theory still prevails and is commonly referred to as the Neo-Malthusian Population Theory (they included a minor change to the theory by substituting "moral constraint" with birth control). 

Is this actually the case though, and is population growth the only constraint to economic development? I believe that there are other aspects that affect the economic development of a country. In many Less Developed Countries the lack of economic achievement can be attributed to their economic and political makeup. According to Todaro, LDCs often depend on agricultural production and external sources of income and in many cases have not completely shifted to industry. In addition, many LDCs suffer from imperfect markets and the lack of information on their economy. This can make it difficult to properly and successfully invest in LDCs. Their often corrupt and highly bureaucratic political systems are also important causes that tend to drive foreign investors away. These, including social institutions and resource endowment, are factors that need to be considered. The Neo-Malthusian Theory is putting too much emphasis on population growth, not taking political, social and economic institutions and resource endowment into account. Egypt and Kuwait are Countries that show that population is not the only determinant of economic development.

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Egypt is a country that clearly shows that economic, social and political foundations are more important than population growth in determining Egypt's economic growth. According to the article "Egyptian President Blames Birth Rate for Poor Economic Performance" by Brian Carnell, the problems that Egypt is facing are not due to its rapid population growth, but rather due to Egypt's economic policies that discourage foreign investment. Although Egypt is trying to shift to a market-oriented economy it has not yet been able to do so properly and the government still plays a significant role in the economic process. In fact, only "35% ...

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