We have been asked to investigate the probability of someone rolling a die and the probability of it landing on particular number for a player to win the game. For A to win he/she must roll a 1 and if he/she does this they have won the game. For B to win, first of all A must lose and they must roll 2 or a 3 and then they have won the game. For C to win they must roll a 4,5 or 6 and of course B must have lost. I have to investigate these tasks:
. The probability of A, B or C winning.
2. Who will be the most likely winner?
3. Most likely length of the game.
I have first of all drawn a tree diagram so it is easier to interpret and it is easier to see things visually:
From this I tried to find the probability that no one wins in Round 1 and this is how I did it:
P (LLL) = 1- (5 x 2 x 1)
6 3 2
P (LLL) = 1 - 5
18
P (LLL) = 13
18
I also found the probability of A, B and C winning in Round 1:
P (A) wins = 1
6
P (B) wins = 5 x 1 = 5
6 2 18
P (C) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 = 5
6 3 2 18
In the second round the probabilities of winning will be different, as you must say that no one won in the last round. This is how I found out the probability of A, B and C winning in the second round:
P (A) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 1 = 5
6 3 2 6 108
P (B) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 5 x 1 = 25
6 3 2 6 2 324
P (C) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 5 x 2 x 1 = 25
6 3 2 6 3 2 648
. The probability of A, B or C winning.
2. Who will be the most likely winner?
3. Most likely length of the game.
I have first of all drawn a tree diagram so it is easier to interpret and it is easier to see things visually:
From this I tried to find the probability that no one wins in Round 1 and this is how I did it:
P (LLL) = 1- (5 x 2 x 1)
6 3 2
P (LLL) = 1 - 5
18
P (LLL) = 13
18
I also found the probability of A, B and C winning in Round 1:
P (A) wins = 1
6
P (B) wins = 5 x 1 = 5
6 2 18
P (C) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 = 5
6 3 2 18
In the second round the probabilities of winning will be different, as you must say that no one won in the last round. This is how I found out the probability of A, B and C winning in the second round:
P (A) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 1 = 5
6 3 2 6 108
P (B) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 5 x 1 = 25
6 3 2 6 2 324
P (C) wins = 5 x 2 x 1 x 5 x 2 x 1 = 25
6 3 2 6 3 2 648