The President and the Media - Bill Clinton and George W. Bush's First Three Weeks.

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Ortmann,

POLS 384: “The Presidency”

Lecturer: Rick Dunn

Paper by Stephan Ortmann

Sunday, April 22, 2001

The President and the Media

Bill Clinton and George W. Bush’s First Three Weeks


The president of the United States of America, it is said, has his best chance of enacting a domestic legislation in the first 100 days, which are also known as the Honeymoon period because the press supposedly gives the president a less critical coverage in these first few months. Howard Kurtz of the Washington Post, however, wrote on January 31, 1993, that journalists “(w)ith their relentlessness focus on the short term, the backstage conflict, the flap of the day, [they] may be unduly magnifying Clinton’s woes.” (Kurtz, 1993, p. A1) On the same day another article on the front page of the same newspaper said that the White House had been unable to control the media effectively and it was therefore the White House’s own mistake (Balz and Devroy, 1993). During Clinton’s first months the media did not let go as one editorial cartoon illustrates. The cartoon shows Clinton as game that is carried away by savage hunters (Sewell 1996). The question this paper will address will be whether the press was especially harsh on Clinton and whether this was due to an inability of the White House transition team to control the media or whether the media just did their job in investigating a new administration. The first three weeks of the front-page Washington Post coverage after the inauguration will serve as a means for finding out how harshly the media has treated the president. For the purpose of comparison the first three weeks of George W. Bush’s presidency in 2001 will also be analyzed. The question that will be considered here is whether the Bush administration received a better, worse, or same treatment from the media. Finally, there will be a discussion of whether the 100 days theory still holds true today if it ever has been true.

Many presidential scholars have argued that the first year in a presidency is the most important one that if the goal is legislative success (Pfiffner 1996). Many journalists also agree such as Ted Koppel from ABC’s Nightline who said on Larry King Live on January 4, 2001 that “(h)ow long the honeymoon lasts will depend on how well he handles himself during those first 100 days.” (Maggs and Barnes 2001) Legislative accomplishments, so Pfiffner, are often accomplished in this period and the successes and failures in this first year often set the tone in which the president deals with Congress. Furthermore he argues that early successes can forecast later ones while early failures will be negative for the future of the president (Pfiffner 1996). John Maggs and James A. Barnes, however, claim that the First 100 Days is just a myth and they show based on historical evidence. Most modern presidents had not a good beginning but survived this time and their achievements came later in their presidency. They contend that it is not reasonable to compare presidents with others, such as Theodore Roosevelt and his 30 days. These early days are usually marked by high approval ratings and favorable treatment by Congress but it is also a time in which presidents make the most mistakes. President Reagan, who historians consider to have had one of the best first 100 days, made one of his greatest mistakes in that period by pushing for tax cuts and higher military spending, which resulted in a decade of deficits. Thus one should not judge a president by his performance in these first 100 days (Maggs and Barnes 2001). Jarol B. Manheim even argues in his 1979 study of the news conference that the honeymoon period is one where the media is testing the president instead of giving him, as the honeymoon assumption alleges, “a period when accommodation and good fellowship predominate” (Manheim 1979, p.60).

The analysis of the Washington Post showed that the coverage of President Clinton administration in the first three weeks was much worse than the one during George W. Bush’s. With this kind of analysis there can be, however, problems. First of all one has to define what constitutes negative coverage. For my paper the article has to be predominantly negative in tone or subject, which can manifests itself in blaming the president. For example writing that a certain action is a break of a campaign promise constitutes negative coverage. Still analyzing newspaper articles based on their tone as well as their message can only be subjective. Also not all the articles written are significant for this analysis because they are neither negative nor positive in tone. That’s why I have tried to analyze only clear cases. For President Clinton I have found 33 stories, which were positive, 21 were negative of 54 stories in which the president had a significant part. For George W. Bush the picture looked much different: There were 49 positive stories and 8 negative ones of those that I considered significant. Despite the error factor there seems to be more negative coverage of Bill Clinton, which can be either blamed on the media or on problems that the president has created. Most likely it will, however, be a combination of both.

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The first three weeks of the coverage shows that 9 of the 54 stories analyzed were on the subject of the ban on sexual discrimination of gays in the military. The first story came on January 22 only two days after Clinton’s inauguration and is still considered positive. When it was evident that the House would not support the bill lifting the ban and supporting Clinton’s executive order, the media turned against him. Defense Secretary Les Aspin told the press on CBS’s Face the Nation that Clinton would compromise but not give up his pledge to lift the ban. U.S. District ...

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