Investment Decision

     Running head:  Risk Analysis on Investment Decision

Risk Analysis on Investment Decision

Fredrick Marshall Jr.

University of Phoenix

MBA 540

November 10, 22008

Introduction

       Silicon Arts Inc. is a successful manufacturer of semiconductors focusing on integrated circuits for many different types of digital imaging products and electronic equipment including medical instruments and digital cameras. Silicon Arts Inc. is a four year old company that is striving to increase profit share and keep pace with advanced technology in the industry. This paper will examine the external and internal risks involved in the decision making process to determine which proposed projects are accepted or rejected. With current sales in excess of $180 million and new investment dollars available, Silicon Arts Inc. is in perfect position to expand and take full advantage of available growth opportunities. Such decisions require careful analysis and must be based on complete review of cash flow projections, opportunity costs, Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, and the Profitability Index.

              Silicon Arts Inc. presented two capital investment proposals to their Financial Analyst to make a final decision. The first proposal involved expanding the existing Digital Imaging market share with Digi-image and the second is to enter the Wireless Communication market with W-Comm. The capital project investment decision will be made by comparing the economic value of each proposal’s benefit to its cost. The difference between the two is the NPV. The goal of this simulation was to choose a proposal that yielded a higher Net Present Value, Internal Rate of Return, and Profitability Index.

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       Results from the simulation support expansion into the wireless communication market. This move would be beneficial to Silicon Arts Inc. Silicon Arts’ 1032 chip, used in data enabled mobile phones, have performed well in pilot tests. A number of internal and external risks are inherent in entering this industry. There are strategies available to mitigate the risks.

        One of the risks associated with entry into wireless communications market is market risk. Market risk takes into account that the value of investments may decline over a given period of time and is comprised ...

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