The Bank of England and Interest Rates in the economy.

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Question 4:

The Bank of England’s forecasting team has concluded that the economy is growing faster than its potential.  In order to bring the two into line it is suggested that interest rates will have to be increased.  Show how:

  1. Interest rates are determined in the modern economy;

  1. The Central Bank is able to influence interest rates;

  1. What effect the increase in interest rates will have on personal consumption and private investment;

  1. Explain why the banking sector has to be “lent up” for monetary policy to be effective.

This essay is split up into four parts and will look into the Bank of England and Interest Rates in the economy.  It will focus on how interest rates are determined in the economy, how the Bank influences interest rates, the effect on personal consumption and private investment as a result in an increase in interest rates and also what is needed for monetary policy to be deemed effective.  Assumptions need to be made such as that the economy is growing faster than its potential and that interest rates will have to be increased and not decreased.

A) Economic theory suggests that the rate of interest is determined by the demand for and supply of money.  To be more specific, the price of money is the rate of interest.  An increase in the demand for money or a fall in the supply of money will increase the rate of interest.  A fall in demand for money or an increase in the supply of money will lead to a fall in the rate of interest.  The equilibrium rate of interest is where the demand for and supply of money are equal.  The demand for loanable funds comes from the households and firms who would like to borrow to finance investments.  This demand includes families taking out mortgages to buy a new house and also includes firms borrowing to afford new machinery or plant sites.  Investment in these cases is the source of the demand for loanable funds.

The interest rate is a price of a loan.  It represents how much borrowers pay for loans and how much lenders get back on their saving.  Because a high interest rate makes borrowing more expensive, the quantity of loanable funds demanded will fall as the rate of interest increases.  On the other hand, because a high interest rate makes saving more attractive, the level of loanable funds rises as the rate of interest rises: The demand curve for loanable funds will therefore slope downwards and the supply curve for loanable funds will slope upwards.

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The above diagram is a simple illustration of how the interest rate is determined.  Here, the equilibrium is achieved through an interest rate of 4% and the quantity of loanable funds both demanded and supplied is equal to £1 billion.  The adjustment of the interest rate to the equilibrium point occurs because if the interest rate was lower than the equilibrium level, the quantity of loanable funds supplied would be less than the quantity of loanable funds being demanded.  There would then be a resulting shortage of loanable funds ...

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