The main aim of this study is to determine and learn the competitive strategies adopted by companies to survive the effects of recession. While the main objectives are to:

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CHAPTER- I

  1. Executive Summary

A recession is a dreadful situation for any business and must be endured till the economy gets back into its normal state. All the projections of sales fall in short and survival mode takes its place. But there are many stories about companies that flourish well during poor economic conditions. Intel, Amazon, Southwest Airlines grew about thirty percent per year during the recession periods of 1980-1982, 1991, 2001and 2008 while their competitors disappeared. It is based on how each day with its on conditions is handled; shape our lives in the long and short run. Similarly the success of large and small enterprises depends upon their response and preparation to economic conditions and ever changing business. According to Allen (2000) Companies mastering business optimization during recession allows economic forecasts to guide the company. Companies have to –if they have not yet done- come to terms with the realities of new competitive situation. The recession nowadays will lead to the downfall of business models that are purely ineffective and accelerates the restructuring of the entire industry. When the global economy slides down into a recession many firms face new opportunities and challenges. As in the world today everything is interconnected it is really very difficult for companies to suspend their initiatives for innovation till the worst of the recession blows over. Doing so is a real risk and will make the company lay behind the curve when the economy recovers. This might also result in losing market to competitors who generated new creative ways to continue with their initiatives for innovation even when the market was down.

When confronted by recession all the firms slides to a crisis mode thinking that the company needs to be prevented from getting badly hurt or going under. The quickly implemented policies would include shrinking unnecessary expenditures, reduce operating costs, cutting down manpower, preserve cash and eliminating frills. A careful and scrupulous comparative study was done on various competitive strategies that are adopted by the companies in retail sector to survive the tough impacts of recession. However, the implementations of these strategies differ from industry to industry and location to location. Moreover, these strategies are accepted globally by all the firms to gain a sustainable competitive edge over its competitors during the tough times. Companies that are adopting these strategies are found to exhibit enormous growth during the post recessionary period.

  1.  Aims and Objectives

        Aim: The main aim of this study is to determine and learn the competitive strategies adopted by companies to survive the effects of recession.

While the main objectives are to:

  • Compare and analyse the strategies adopted by companies in retail sector to survive recession.
  • Study and scrutinize carefully the competitive strategies and make recommendations.
  • Learn the success and failures made by business by adopting different strategies and draw conclusions from those case studies.

  1. Competition in Recession

Economies of countries like India and China haven’t experienced the recession even though there has been a slash in their international business. So, the downturn has not occurred in a context of recession in the company’s home country. While as in other countries like US and Iceland the intensity of recession in home economies has got a big effect on international business. So, in these countries the economic crisis has led to the downfall of many international businesses like Lehman bros. In another category of countries like Australia and Singapore recession was not so big. They experienced recession because of increased cost of capital and the downfall of their trading partners. Immediate response from the respective governments and banks helped them a lot in returning to normal economic situation. So, in turn the effect on international business was very low.  

According to Brinkley (1996) many of the companies lose their competitive advantage during the tough times of recession. The investments in research and developments are reduced and the budget for marketing in advertising and publicity is cut short. Hence, the share in the market gets reduced gradually and the new innovations are sacrificed for more cash flows. This is the best opportunity for market giants to capitalise on.

According to Do and Nguyen (2009) retailers can survive recession by changing their competitive strategy. They have to implement a combination of competitive strategies like low cost, focus and differentiation to survive over the tough times. To enable low cost strategy, they need to have a logic centre to improve the effectiveness of employees and to lower the wastes and finally to utilize the first in first out principle well. As far as focus strategy is concerned, the company needs to pull back unprofitable goods from the shop floor and focus more on profit generating products and do a promotion campaign for them through effective channels and in time. For differentiation the retailers have to be more selective regarding which products to be offered. According to Porter (1985) there are three major types of strategies for competition namely: low cost, focus and differentiation. In the first strategy the firm makes itself the low cost seller in the industry. This can be accomplished by using good technology and giving preferential access to raw materials. In the second strategy, it is the choice of a competitive scope within the industry. It has got two variants; they are cost focus and differentiation focus. While in last strategy the company seek to remain unique in its services or product offering. This can help the company to set a premium price for their goods and services.

CHAPTER- II

2.1. Present Economic Condition

        The present economic situation is portrayed by lot of destructive headlines and annoying performance of the economy’s prominent indicators. Major difficulties faced during the recession are price rises, low incomes, poor savings, poor spending power, rising unemployment and slowdown in housing. It is not the demand for a particular product that is getting reduced, but for many products. Cashmore (2008) suggests that when the demand reduces the impact will ripple through the supply chain as well. The retailer will struggle a lot to meet both ends, so will be the manufacturing companies, the raw material supplier, the truck drivers who transport the products and so goes on the list. However, the phenomenon that lead to the slowdown in customer spending and demand might have been in evolution for months before the economy realized the slowdown in spending. Thus a recession affects all the areas like manufacturing, employment, distribution in all the industrial sectors.

2.2. Choice of Consumers

  • Consumption smoothing and product Substitution

According to O’Brien (2008) Consumption smoothing is one of the basic economic concept which will aid in understanding how the present retail circumstances has aroused and what can be expected next. Consumption smoothing can be defined as an individual’s choice of maintaining a certain level of living over a certain time span. This means that consumers will use their savings as an instrument to compensate when their incomes are too low or save more money when their incomes are really high, thus “smoothing” their consumption patterns. This doesn’t imply that the consumer spending power doesn’t decrease or increase as the incomes change, but the change in levels between high and low will be less dynamic. Theories suggest that consumers won’t spend one less pound for every one less pound they earn, and vice versa. O’Brien (2008) further argues that financing consumption habit of an individual when income goes low becomes a choice between equity and debt. This framework was altered when there was a huge hike in the housing values. When the housing prices shooted up, people had more wealth on paper which triggered the increase in spending power, even though paper wealth was the major source of income. Unfortunately, during recession incomes were not increasing but many persons smoothened their wealthier consumption practices. In this period of recession, many people have crossed their safety barriers and have maintained spending at a bare minimal level. In majority of the cases, savings are almost used up and credit cards have almost reached its maximum limit forcing people to reduce consumption and adopt a poor standard of living. Faiola (2008) views that people find it very difficult to take decisions and make economic trade-offs. So here, the consumption pattern changes and the changes are revealed as substituting between similar products. When the budget goes very low, majority of the customers will go for a substitute or for an inferior product. One example is substituting frozen foods in lieu of fresh foods or buying a store brand rather than a name brand. This is a kind of consumption smoothing where the customers get the same level of consumption but at poorer quality for each unit. As a result of this inferior goods become a substitute for highly expensive goods.

        Another good example of substitution is the customer’s choice of where or which store to shop? As most of the retailers are facing declines in sales, retailers who offer more discounts are surviving as people shift from expensive branded stores to discounted wholesale stores. These drifts have got greater impact on the retailer strategies to survive the recession period.

2.3. Business Choices

  • Inventory and cost Management

O’Brien (2008) states it is quite very difficult to maintain inventories at profit maximising levels during good times, but during recession it becomes a critical success factor and a more difficult decision making. For very small stores it becomes more complicated due to reduced order sizes and payment terms. During tough times it is really essential and vital to reduce the inventory speciality items that are not sold so frequently. Inventory existing in the stores are reduced by sales or by converting few of their existing assets to cash. Changing inventory from assets to cash is very crucial as most of the retailers cannot survive recession on existing inventories and should therefore make orders for new inventory under big uncertainties. If the demand for the new inventory reduces it creates larger impacts in supply chain which will result in larger minimal order sizes and delay in payments. The wisest strategy to cope up with this situation is by ordering minimal necessary products just to sustain the demand. This is a very difficult circumstance as no retailer wants to be out of a mainstay item and forcing the customers to go to another retailer in a very highly competitive market. So a good strategy is to have sufficient supply of products that can be sold frequently or daily as these item get the people into the store. O’Brien (2008) further suggests that another tactic is to provide a wide range of selection for customers by offering less high end items and less inexpensive to abstemiously priced to budget conscious customers. Further consideration is to be given in the appearance of the store because minimal or less inventories can convey a negative message to customers. A well-stocked mall can encourage a good relationship. This can be done by changing the appearance and layout of the store and the displays. A change in layout of the store can be done without incurring much cost and can create good results and impacts. Supplier faces their own constraints and when they recognizes that retailers are pulling back on their expenditure on inventory, suppliers will be forced to offer more discounts to the retailers, who then places very large orders . But for very small retailers this is bad idea and can even worsen their economic state. Even though these discounts are quite appealing for retailers they will be beneficial only once they are converted to cash through sales. So if a seventy percent discount is offered on an item in every five years, it will be quite useless if it is sold once in a month and have to be ordered in huge quantities.

        According to Faiola (2009) during the worst economic times, most of the small retailers leave their liquidity ahead of profits and they are reluctant to reduce the inventory or liquidate at loss per unit. This results in feeling a cash flow crunch. Without maintaining cash reserve or additional stocks to meet the demand, it is very difficult to make business payments that come as additional. It is due to this reason that many retailers get closed down during recession due to bankruptcy. While few retailers fails to anticipate the recession or miscalculates its severity resulting in making changes too late to be operative. So, small retailer must be honest about their prospects of sales and taking tough decisions. The first and foremost step is to scrutinize the inventory for the most vital products and then reduce the stock for the insignificant ones. Further, retailers should set boundaries for ordering new inventories and plan for the sale and marketing of them. Finally, the most crucial aspect is to acquire and maintain as much as cash reserves as possible that is able to meet expenses like wages, rent and utilities.

  • Rising Costs in time of Raising Prices

        Retailers from restaurants to clothing stores face rapidly increasing input and inventory prices during the recession. The rise in inflation level together with the impacts of recession makes it very difficult for the retailers to survive. One major reason is that these hikes cannot be easily passed on to customers who are thriving badly to cut their spending. Another vital aspect is that there is an expense to change the price of items with regards to the uncertainty about the time span of recession. All these things make decision making very difficult during the recession. Apparently, the main objective of majority of the business owners is to maintain their current profit during the recession. Even though they don’t expect to grow but they can’t afford losing money. This forms the motivation to raise prices when the costs increase. But this may result in generating poor income for business owners. In theory, if a product is priced too high the customer demand for that product will be zero and if this is the same for many products the zero demand would be infinite. The solution to this depends on the type of the product and its elasticity. The elasticity of a product defines how good is the response of the customer to the quantity demanded for a product when the cost alters. An inelastic product shows very small change in quantity demanded by the customer when the price alters while in case of an elastic product the price changes dramatically. It is quite unrealistic for a retailer to determine the exact elasticity of every product, but by estimating the demand for a product can help in taking faster and good decisions.

        O’Brien (2008) suggests that pricing products based on elasticity is a smart and best strategy during the down times. Some examples of inelastic products are gas, water and goods that do not have choices. Elastic products like automobiles, sugars etc. have got many substitutes and so the rise in price will result in low demand in quantity. The best solution is not to hike prices for products that the customer can live without or go to some other store and purchase the same product for less price. Another reason some retailers find it very difficult to change prices is that the process of altering prices has got a cost. This concept is called as menu cost and it is based on cost to reprint the labels to reflect new prices. Without knowing for how long these prices are affected it is very difficult for some retailers to afford the additional expense to raise the prices. This is called as transaction cost theory. When the market goes down to a recession, people reduce the expenses on dining out and substitute it by eating at home or going to inexpensive places such as fast food outlets. In the short run retailers may not have the prospect to change the prices of products. But in the long run they can change the price based on the preferences of customers and adjusting the product types they offer and the price range they charge.

  • Labour Costs and Employment

Based on the survey conducted by National Retail Federation, the retailers employ more people than any sectors in US and UK economy. So, with at least one in five having a retail job, the impact of recession on retail employment will be noteworthy. During the recent economic boom the retail sector added thousands of jobs. The survey data shows that the retail employment made an annual growth of more than one percent regardless of two recessions. The fastest growth occurred in 1980’s following the recession from 1980 to 1982. During the economic slowdowns in 2001 the retail saw a decrease in employment rate. The average annual employment got reduced to eight percent.

        The collected information suggest that the retail sector responds very quickly to economic changes and cautions that retailer is facing difficult decisions with respect to overall costs of labour and employment. With ever increasing costs of inputs and structural stringencies affecting the retailer’s capability to hike revenue, labour turns out to be the sole area where the retailers can reduce costs. Some retailers instead of laying off employees they reduce working hours from full time to part time, reducing the store opening hours and employing fewer number of employees per shift. However, none of the above ones are a suggested solution to small retailers as reducing working hours will make it more difficult to compete with discounters. The decline in employment in the retail sector can create huge impacts in the economy as a whole and thus forces every retailer to take tough decisions to persist.

CHAPTER – III

LITERATURE REVIEW ANALYSIS AND DISCUSSION

3.1. An Everlasting Legacy-Common Competitive Strategies adopted by most of the Companies

Majority of the people are so curious of putting their hands in the pocket now. The major problem is partying with few pennies, which forms a major challenge for everyone in a situation where all the financial providers, who were previously very helpful has now gone behind the curtains.  However, it is quite pointless to wait tolerantly for all the things to go back to a situation as before. This forms one of the key differences of recession. Individuals or businesses will not have much money in spare as it has been before or even the poise about the future as they had before. “The recession has focussed people on what really constitutes values” said by David Atkinson General Manager, Spreads and Beverages at Premier Foods.

According to Thorp (2009) Innovation is critically very important – indisputably more than in the good times. The major thought and difference needed here is that innovation needs to acclimate to the current circumstances. It should take into account the redefinition of value is the everlasting bequest of recession. One of the most common way to respond to recession as a responsible retailer is to acknowledge having a change from the throw away culture to the era of reusing products rather than consuming. One of the greatest advantages of this activity is that it aids in protecting the environment and reduces the pollution, which is a vital step in progressing towards a sustainable growth. In this situation, people think more about what they need and very less about what they want. Moreover, people think twice whether a change is worthwhile. While considering vehicles innovations can really make people think about the costs and the risk involved in purchase. For the purpose of sustaining profits and retaining the market, investments in marketing is very crucial especially during the recession periods.

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        Hillier (1999) suggests that at times of recessions firms need to carefully consider about linking with the customers at the very basic level i.e. the level of trust and belief. This is what that helps Apple to move from computers to iPods to iPhones and finally to iPads. Even though many other brands may have similar touch screen functionalities, there are many things that make people to go for Apple products. Another crucial aspect is that people are more interested in comparing prices during the hard times- which means that they are interested in moving towards another brand when they ...

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