Two-page report if an aggressive takeover should occur on BHP Billiton Ltd

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                                                      ……………….….….Thanes Consultancy

Table of Contents

Report

Overview Of Mining Industries        1

BHP Billiton Group (BHP)        1

Competitors        1

Future Opportunities And Development        1

Tax Issue        2

Recommendation        2

Appendices

Appendix A: Overview Of Mining Industries        3

Appendix B: BHP Business Summary        4

Appendix C: BHP Billiton Chronology        5

Appendix D: BHP Annual Summary        7

D1: BHP Annual Per Share Statistics        9

D2: BHP Annual Ratio Analysis        11

D3: BHP Financial Statement Figures and Analysis        13

Appendix E: BHP Customer Sector Group Summary        15

Appendix F: BHP Consumer Demand Growth        18

Appendix G: Competitors        22

Appendix H: News And Announcement        28

Appendix I: References        40


Overview of Mining Industries

The worlds’ mining industry revived, along with the escalating demands for resources in growing economies countries such as China, Brazil and India. Following the 2008 financial crisis; which affected the worlds’ economy and many companies suffered losses during that period, China and India had begun to replenish their depleting supplies. As a result, there is a significant rebound in commodity prices from the record low financial crisis and spot prices of iron ore, copper and coking coal, which have increased in more than expected. In order to keep up with the worlds’ future demands for resource materials, an average growth of 6.8 percent is probable five years down the road.

Australia is regarded as the world’s third largest producer of commodities hence they are nearly self sufficient in most commodities. The positive export demand and investments from China, other parts of Asia and the rest of Europe are the few reasons in which Australia’s’ economy picked up since 2008 financial crisis, particularly in the mining industries. The mining industry has been a major contributor to the economic growth, and over 7 percent of GDP in Australia serves as an important impetus to the country. As a result, the industry is expected to generate massive revenue of about 19 percent of Australia's GDP, and make up approximately 60 percent of Australia’s export earnings. 

BHP Billiton Group (BHP)

BHP is the largest mining company in Australia by market capitalisation (market estimate on the value of the company’s equity). Aftermath of merger between BHP Limited (1885) and Billiton Plc (1860) in 2001, BHP became the leading dual listed mining company in the world with head offices located in Melbourne and London respectively. By means of combining assets and expertise in different areas of knowledge; BHP manages a wide diversity of mining and processing operations in twenty-five countries with nine primary operating units such as iron ore, aluminium, base metals (primary products including copper, lead, zinc and uranium), manganese, metallurgical coal, thermal coal, petroleum, stainless steel materials (nickel and cobalt), diamonds and specialty products (diamonds and titanium minerals). Out of the many units mentioned above, iron ore provides the largest portion of profits in BHP, second ranked base metals then followed by the petroleum division. China, who is the major importer of iron ore and other commodities in BHP, generates a great proportion of its profits and the remaining percentage backed up from other Asia countries and the rest of Europe.

Competitors

Although BHP is the largest mining company in the world, nonetheless its major competitors still exists. They are Rio Tinto (Rio), head office in Melbourne whom specialises in mining copper, diamonds, energy products, gold, industrial minerals and iron ore. Rio, who has been rapidly expanding its business and market share capital, has outperformed the overall market sector by a significant level. Followed by, Vale S.A. (Vale), centre of operations in Brazil whom specialises in mining iron ore, nickel, coal and aluminium. Vale, the worlds’ biggest iron ore miners is likely to take 28 percent of the iron ore market this year, as such Vale may win back market shares from BHP as Vale expands its existing mines and restart shuttered plants.

        

China, besides being a major client of BHP, it is also a major buyer from Rio which leads to addition competition. However, BHP's stable exports to other Asia countries and rest of Europe, serves as a backup plan which diversifies its products and expands its area of interest, not just in the mining industry but also into the aluminium and fertiliser industries. Despite the many competitions, BHP continued to stand on the advantage side, over and above its competitors as its future strategic planning and opportunities in diversifying into a new industry will optimistically increase its market share capital and further expanding its business. In addition, BHP has evidenced that they are performing better than the average industry performance, especially over and above its major competitors.

Future Opportunities and Development

Over the years, BHP has shown aggressiveness to expand and diversify its business. Following are the examples of its future opportunities and current developments: Subsequent to the long term coking coal supply contracted with Hyundai in 2008, a further confirmation of a stronger relationship with Hyundai has been tied by signing an eight years supply contract to deliver 22 million tonnes of iron ore from 2009. Next is the acquisition of Athabasca Potash in Canada that provides BHP with full 100 per cent control of the Burr project and various additional potash exploration properties in Saskatchewan, Canada. Followed by the entering of binding agreements with a subsidiary of PT Adaro Energy TBK (Adaro), to create a new joint venture for its Indonesian Coal Project (ICP), of which BHP holds 75 per cent of the joint venture.

Last but not least, there will be an increase in the installed capacity across BHP Billiton's Western Australia Iron Ore operations, with the opening of the “Newman Mining Hub” in the centre of Western Australia Iron Ore operations which is the main constituent of the company's Rapid Growth Project 4 (RGP4). Furthermore the community of Port Hedland will benefit by reducing the dust emissions in some of its key production processes in the mining hub.

 

The above mentioned were some of the confirmed opportunities which BHP evidenced that they were not lacking behind the growing economies and are furthermore diversifying and expanding its business which will eventually out run its major competitors.

Tax Issue

A reduce in the soaring 40 percent resource super profit tax (RSPT) to a desirable level of 30 percent mineral resource rent tax (MRRT) gave most of the big companies a happy ending while leaving the small and mid-tier mining companies discontented. In other words, the reduction leads to a lower tax expense as compared to the original proposed RSPT. However, it will be a win-win situation for the Government and the mining companies if there were no additional tax imposed on the miners.

Recommendation

The evidences in this report reflect that it is highly recommended to take over BHP Group.

BHP has been consistently seeking for opportunities to increase in its wealth, they have undertake a couple of projects such as the securing of Hyundai Steel 8 years long term contract, the recent approval of Brazilian refinery expansion and joint venture for its Indonesian coal project (Maruwai). BHP has financial strength through its strong cash flow and balance sheet, a diversity of products and customers, access to global capital markets and an enviable platform of growth opportunities. The group has also maintained its share buyback program and has regularly increased its generous dividend payout. Given the credit rating of Moody A1 and S&P A+, the group could be able to get bank loan easier with better interest rate to invest in its existing or new projects. Investors should only own shares in companies that are financially strong and that are not reliant on access to the credit markets for their continued existence. BHP certainly fits the bill.

Its attempt to take over its rival company and venturing into other industry reflects its intention of becoming the industry leader. Expanding into other industry not only expands its revenue source, but also could diversify the risk that the company undertakes. BHP saw the potential demand of fertilizer in China and India, therefore it offers a bid to take over Potash Corp.

There has been a general boom in the mining industry over the last five years, driven largely by a growing demand from China specifically and Asia in general. Several of China’s current mining operations are approaching ore reserve depletion, which has resulted in the need to locate and develop existing projects. BHP who has already been exporting more of its resources to China, could be at a more advantageous position to secure the future demands since they already have its customer base there, opportunity is therefore expand.

It is therefore highly recommended to take over the BHP Group, as given the fact that BHP meets the future demand of mining resources, and hold a bigger portion of pie throughout the world as compared to its remainder competitor.


Appendix A: Overview of Mining Industries

Mining is the extraction of minerals from the earth. Any material that cannot be grown through agricultural processes, or created artificially in a laboratory or factory, is usually mined. Materials recovered by mining include base metals, precious metals, iron, uranium, coal, diamonds, limestone, oil shale, rock salt and potash.

Apart from Antarctica, mining takes place in all of the world’s continents, but Australia have a reputation for domestic mining expertise. Australia's two biggest competitors, in terms of strategic location for exporting mining resources are Brazil and India.

Australia is estimated to be the world’s third largest producer of commodities in the world. It is the world’s largest bauxite, diamond, ilmenite and zircon producer, and is also a substantial producer of coal, iron ore, gold, uranium,zinc, lead and silver. Australia is fortunate in being nearly self sufficient in most commodities.

The country is often referred to as being a “quarry” based on the fact that only a small proportion of its mineral production is refined in the country, with the remainder being exported. It’s mineral industry acts as an important catalyst to the economic growth of the country, and is expected to generate revenue of about $178.9 billion in 2010-11. Revenue is expected to grow by about 19% in 2010-11, having slumped by over 15% in the previous year in response to the global financial crisis. Despite that fall, revenue is expected to rise at an average annual rate of about 8.4% over the five years ending in 2010-11. The division is expected to generate over 7% of Australia's GDP in 2010-11, and accounts for nearly 60% of Australia’s export earnings.

Brazil has demonstrated reserves of several important commodities such as bauxite, kaolin, iron ore, niobium and nickel. Brazil is also a major producer of several other key commodities such as gold, coal and phosphates. Mining and mineral products provided almost 2% to Brazil's GDP. Iron ore is the most important of Brazil's mineral exports, generating annual revenue of around $ 2.3 billion. Brazil is also the world’s largest exporter of niobium, tin, lithium, tantalum and gemstones. Bauxite, gold, manganese, among other primary mineral products, also contributes positively to mineral export revenues. Iron ore exports account for 6% of the country's total export revenues.

India mining industry covers exploration of new minerals and mines, production of mineral resources from various mines in India, processing of the mineral ores like iron ore, bauxite ore, manganese ore etc. to obtain the more useful forms like iron, steel, Aluminium, manganese, etc., extraction of coal, gold, diamond etc. and economic matters of the India industry of mineral ore mining. The GDP contribution of the mining industry varies from 2.2% to 2/5%. Even mining done on small scale contributes 6% to the entire cost of mineral production. Indian Mining Industry provides job opportunities to around 0.7 million individuals.

China is a major player in most commodities. Most of China’s mineral production is consumed locally by state owned enterprises or banks. The country has about 80,000 state-owned mining enterprises and 200 000 collectively owned mines. Over the years, China has established a mining industry system with a complete range of departments including geology, production, construction, scientific research, design, equipment manufacture, management, education and training. Several of China’s current mining operations are approaching ore reserve depletion, which has resulted in the need to locate and develop existing projects.

There has been a general boom in the mining industry over the last five years, driven largely by a growing demand from China specifically and Asia in general. China is currently the largest consumer of iron ore, which translates to be the world's largest steel producing country. According to the PWC's annual review of global trends in the mining industry, urban migration and Asia's appetite for commodities, along with growing demand from other developing countries, will fuel the existing global mining boom.


Appendix C: BHP Billiton Chronology

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Appendix C: BHP Billiton Chronology


Appendix D

Annual Summary


Appendix D

10 Year Total Return of BHP


Appendix D.1

Annual Per Share Statistics

Appendix D.1

Share price of BHP from Sep 2009 to Sep 2010


Appendix D.2

Annual Ratio Analysis


Appendix D.2

Annual Ratio Analysis (continued)


Appendix D.3

Financial Statement Figures & Analysis

BHP Billiton Group's overall profitability ratio has drop over the past two years as compared to 2007, with a slight decrease from 25.83% in 2008 to 22.15% in ...

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