Can and should public policy decisions be based solely on scientific evidence?

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Can and should public policy decisions be based solely on scientific evidence?

The fiery debate surrounding the issue of whether scientific evidence should be the guiding force in the framing of social policy has been going on for many decades. This essay will attempt to give a general outlook on the arguments put forward by theorists who are in favour of societal changes being fully dependent on what science says is best for society, and those who are totally against such an advanced role for science. The discussion will then turn to the favourite battlefield of advocates of both sides- the hotly disputed issue of climate change and the difficulties encountered in using scientific evidence as the cornerstone of policy decisions.

Theorists in favour of the using only scientific evidence to shape out social policies fall under the umbrella of evidence-based theorists. In a nutshell, such theorists argue that the best way of implementing social policy is by basing the measure on empirical and scientific evidence, as opposed to an ideological policy making process. In the United Kingdom, the Blair Government was a firm advocate of such an approach, stating that "we must produce policies that really deal with problems that are forward-looking and shaped by evidence rather than a response to short-term pressure; that tackle causes not symptoms” (Defra (2006). Whether or not that government stood by such a strict evidence based approach is outside the purpose of this discussion but it is nonetheless a clear illustration of the evidence-based approach, often termed as the ‘evidence-based movement’. Proponents of the evidence based approach in formulating social policy often cite key examples where evidence based policies had an overall positive impact on society. For instance, the DFID’s (UK's Department for International Development) strategy boasts a “22% reduction in neonatal mortality in Ghana as a result of helping women begin breastfeeding within one hour of giving birth along with a 43% reduction in deaths among HIV positive children using a widely available antibiotic” (Defra, 2006).

Evidence-based policing and theoretical considerations

Rather interestingly, the term ‘evidence-based policy’ has developed from the notion of evidence based medicine. Evidence-based medicine is the methodical procedure of using research findings as the basis for scientific evaluations. Evidence-based medicine also invariably employs a randomised control trial, which effectively compares the treatment in question with placebos to assess the effectiveness of the intervention. Therefore, what is seen today is an extrapolation of such a process to identify the most appropriate and effective methods of promoting health and treating diseases, giving evidence based medicine an educative function rather than simply clinical. In addition, it has extended further and scientific evidence is used to develop policies against future harm, as the case of climate change testifies.  The use of empirical evidence in making policy decision has also been championed for its lack of bias that could have contaminated the research. This is actually the view of positivists who also emphasise the use of scientific methods in conducting sociological research.

The use of scientific evidence as the pivotal base for social policy decisions raises questions on different levels from opposing theorists. First, it is argued that the use of empirical evidence should not be the central thread of every social policy-related decision. Scientific evidence, it is argued, fails to give proper meaning to the context of real life and the collateral consequences of acting solely upon scientific evaluation would undoubtedly result in a “Catch-22” situation at the expense of other societal values.

The second, more general question raised concerns of the very nature of ‘scientific evidence’. What actually amounts to ‘scientific evidence’? Is scientific evidence final? According to Toulmin, all evidence-based arguments contain an implied or identified question, a claim or proposition, evidence supporting the claim and the set of assumptions that have assisted in shaping the question, selecting what will count as relevant evidence and the link between the evidence and the claim via conceptual processes (Toulmin & Janik, 1978: 4-6).  

As such, it can therefore be seen that relying on scientific evidence is not a straightforward process. The scientific evidence does not always stand on its own by showing the problem at hinting at a solution. The validity of the evidence in question is dependent on the quality of assumptions made and, most importantly, the evidence only operates as evidence to a theoretical question posed, which itself has been shaped by various assumptions. This is the source of one of the main criticisms directed against evidence-based policing, including the use of scientific evidence to that extent. It is argued that most often than not, decision makers will ask for specific researches that will only help confirm their pre-conceived ideals on any given subject. In practice, this amounts to decision makers including many assumptions in the research that invariably gives an unreal outlook on the social reality. This practice is often termed as ‘policy-based evidence’, which involves the commissioning of research in order to support a policy that has already been decided upon (Brown & Mikkelsen, 1990). As such, the scientific evidence gathered loses its inherent efficiency and non-partisan nature. It merely becomes a tool for persuasion in the political arena, when in fact it is self contained and deeply flawed. As Tiley and Laycock argue, “rooting policy in evidence has all the appeal of motherhood and apple pie.  “The rhetoric is cheap and easy” (Tiley & Laycock, 2000). As an illustration to this concern, The British Educational Association stated in 2001 that both Liberal Democratic politicians and sections of the academia in the United Kingdom have publicly raised their concerns over government departments amending research reports before publication and the inclusion of conditions to the effect that researchers cannot speak publicly to the media about research findings without first seeking departmental permission.

Turning now to the central issue of scientific research as the fundamental basis for policy decisions, it is also found that scientific researching and policing, by their very nature, raises many issues that need to be sorted out before a proper critical assessment on science-based policing can be undertaken (Brown, 1995).

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Practical issues

The conflict between policy-makers, politicians and government ministers, are increasing rapidly. Both sides could solve these disagreements and understand their respective strengths and flaws if only they were able to combine occupations. It can be argued that policy makers and scientists are alike as they both have laws and regulations by which they have to abide, and can be cautious when expressing opinions without the approval of their leaders. However, there are also noticeable differences between the two groups. Rather than characterising themselves like scientists do, policy makers usually represent a government. Therefore their views are a ...

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