Chinese car market overview. Citroen case study

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I -THE CHINESE MARKET

A) CHINESE PANAROMA

For centuries China stood as a leading civilization, outpacing the rest of the world in the arts and sciences, but in the 19th and early 20th centuries, the country was beset by civil unrest, major famines, military defeats, and foreign occupation. After World War II, the Communists under MAO Zedong established an autocratic socialist system that, while ensuring China's sovereignty, imposed strict controls over everyday life and cost the lives of tens of millions of people. After 1978, his successor DENG Xiaoping and other leaders focused on market-oriented economic development and by 2000 output had quadrupled. For much of the population, living standards have improved dramatically and the room for personal choice has expanded, yet political controls remain tight. China is one of the world’s fourth largest country (after Russia, Canada, and US); Mount Everest on the border with Nepal is the world's tallest peak with estimated population of 1,306,313,812.

(ROBBINS,1996)

B) DEMOGRAPHICS

Since the proclamation of the people's Republic, the country has known three population censuses: there were thus 582.6 million inhabitants in 1953.1 billion in 1982 and 1.14 billion inhabitants in 1990. In 2005, the country, with a population considered at, 1,306,313,812 (July 2005 est.) are the most populated of the planet. Since the beginning of the seventies, the Chinese authorities have launched a policy of birth control; with for objective stabilisation of the population to 1.2 billion inhabitants in the year 2000, since the census of 1982, the population growth rate thus knew a spectacular reduction.

The population wants to develop and one finds a tendency to leave the country side to come to settle down in city, to find an employment, increase its purchasing power, to globalise.  

The purchasing power of a Chinese being incomparable with that of the European or American, a leader of the firm Honda asserts estimates that it is only with an annual average 2000-dollar salary, that the Chinese families will think of offering themselves a car. (Kevin C,2003)

C) ECONOMIC SITUATION

In late 1978 the Chinese leadership began moving the economy from a sluggish, inefficient, Soviet-style centrally planned economy to a more market-oriented system. Whereas the system operates within a political framework of strict Communist control, the economic influence of non-state organizations and individual citizens has been steadily increasing. The authorities switched to a system of household and village responsibility in agriculture in place of the old collectivization increased the authority of local officials and plant managers in industry, permitted a wide variety of small-scale enterprises in services and light manufacturing, and opened the economy to increased foreign trade and investment. The result has been a quadrupling of GDP since 1978. Measured on a purchasing power parity (PPP) basis, China in 2004 stood as the second-largest economy in the world after the US, although in per capita terms the country is still poor. Agriculture and industry have posted major gains especially in coastal areas near Hong Kong and opposite Taiwan and in Shanghai, where foreign investment has helped spur output of both domestic and export goods. The leadership, however, often has experienced - as a result of its hybrid system - the worst results of socialism (bureaucracy and lassitude) and of capitalism (growing income disparities and rising unemployment). China thus has periodically backtracked, retightening central controls at intervals. The government has struggled to (a) sustain adequate jobs growth for tens of millions of workers laid off from state-owned enterprises, migrants, and new entrants to the work force; (b) reduce corruption and other economic crimes; and (c) keep afloat the large state-owned enterprises, many of which had been shielded from competition by subsidies and had been losing the ability to pay full wages and pensions. From 100 to 150 million surplus rural workers are adrift between the villages and the cities, many subsisting through part-time, low-paying jobs. Popular resistance, changes in central policy, and loss of authority by rural cadres have weakened China's population control program, which is essential to maintaining long-term growth in living standards. At the same time, one demographic consequence of the "one child" policy is that China is now one of the most rapidly aging countries in the world. Another long-term threat to growth is the deterioration in the environment - notably air pollution, soil erosion, and the steady fall of the water table especially in the north. China continues to lose arable land because of erosion and economic development. As part of its effort to gradually slow the rapid economic growth seen in 2004, Beijing says it will reduce somewhat its spending on infrastructure in 2005, while continuing to focus on poverty relief and through rural tax reform. Accession to the World Trade Organization helps strengthen its ability to maintain strong growth rates but at the same time puts additional pressure on the hybrid system of strong political controls and growing market influences. China has benefited from a huge expansion in computer Internet use, with 94 million users at the end of 2004. Foreign investment remains a strong element in China's remarkable economic growth. Shortages of electric power and raw materials may affect industrial output in 2005. More power generating capacity is scheduled to come on line in 2006. In its rivalry with India as an economic power, China has a lead in the absorption of technology, the rising prominence in world trade, and the alleviation of poverty; India has one important advantage in its relative mastery of the English language, but the number of competent Chinese English-speakers is growing rapidly.

(LIEBERTHAL,P YOUNG,FU LIN, 1997)

D - INTERNATIONAL RELATIONSHIP

Foreign Trade

Opening to the outside world has greatly promoted the development of China’s foreign trade. China’s import and export volume is 360.65 billion US dollars-worth in 2002. In terms of foreign trade, China ranked 9th in 2002.

Foreign-invested enterprises, which grew from nothing, have become new factors contributing to this growth; by now, the export volume of foreign-invested enterprises made up 45.5 % of China’s total, and 51.8% for the import. (ABRAMOWITZ, 1998)

China's Commitment by Joining WTO

  • Slash tariffs on imported goods
  • Gradually abolish various non-tariff protective barriers
  • Minimize subsidies on various exports
  • Respect and expand the protection of intellectual property rights
  • Reduce the limitations to foreign investments

China’s economic and trade policies may be among the most scrutinized in the world. As a recent entrant to the World Trade Organization (WTO), China is making trade policy transitions in a few years that other countries took over 40 years to accomplish. China is also trying to overcome decades of government secrecy in dealing with international trade issues. In mid-December of 2004 the U.S. Trade Representative’s (USTR) office released its third annual report to Congress on China’s compliance with trade opening commitments made when joining the WTO. (NEALER, 2001)

Both the US and EU were keen that China join the WTO because many analysts had predicted that its WTO commitments to cut tariffs, reduce the role of state trading monopolies, and streamline regulations would open China’s markets to greater imports. Its commitment to remove export subsidies was expected to make its corn and other grain uncompetitive in world markets. (HORMATS,2001)

Economic and Trade Relations with the European Union:

China’s rapid economic development in the past twenty years has had a significant impact upon EU-China trade and economic relations. Total two-way trade has increased more than forty-fold since reforms began in China in 1978, and was worth €103.4 billion in 2001. The EU has gone from a trade surplus at the beginning of the 1980s to a deficit of €45 billion in 2001. China is the EU’s third non-European trading partner after the US and Japan, and China's second largest export market. In recent years, EU companies have invested considerably in China (new annual flows of utilised FDI of around USD 4.5 on average in the last 5 years), bringing up stocks of EU FDI to over USD 25 billion.

The EU trade deficit mainly reflects the effect of market access obstacles in China. EU policy in this area aims at the liberalisation of trade and investment flows. Key objectives include the removal of barriers to imports of specific goods (price controls, discriminatory registration requirements, arbitrary sanitary standards); the removal of obstacles to investment (geographical restrictions, joint venture requirements, discriminatory licensing procedures, outright closure of certain sectors to foreigners, restrictive foreign exchange regulations); and the improvement of the business environment (protection of intellectual property rights etc.).

The EU welcomed China's accession to the World Trade Organisation in late 2001, which came after 15 years of tough negotiations. China's accession was a historic leap for the WTO, enlarging its reach by 1.3 billion people in one step and making it a truly global organisation. Membership will bring benefits both to China and to its trading partners, cementing China’s place in the global economy and ensuring a greater degree of certainty for traders in China and world-wide. For these benefits to be realised fully, it is essential that China implements its terms of accession in a timely and comprehensive manner; the monitoring of China’s WTO compliance will be a major EU priority in the years to come. At the same time, the EU wishes to support China in this arduous task, both through the development of  in key economic areas and through the EU-China Co-operation Programme. The EU has already put in place several projects aimed at helping China to meet its WTO obligations and is preparing additional future programmes.(AHEARN,HANRAHAN,2002)

The European Union’s China Policy:

  • to engage China further on the world stage, through an upgraded political dialogue with the international community.
  • to support China's transition to an open society base upon the rule of law and respect for human rights.
  • to integrate China in the world economy by bringing it more fully into the world trading system, and by supporting the process of economic and social reform that is continuing in China.
  • to make Europe's funding go further.
  • to raise the EU's profile in China.

The  new president for China:

Hu Jintao was selected Saturday to replace Jiang Zemin as the president of a fast-changing China, the last major step in a sweeping transition to a younger generation of leaders that has been years in the making.
Hu, 60, who was vice president, claims the top post four months after ascending to the acme of China's ruling Communist Party, the most powerful position in the land. Jiang, 76, was expected to stay on as leader of the government's military commission — and wield significant influence from behind the scenes.
China's new leaders will take charge of an increasingly capitalist society of 1.3 billion people that is struggling to cope with its entry into the free-trading World Trade Organisation.
Despite its social and economic transformations, China's communist political system has resisted change a closed, secretive system that harshly punishes dissent and any moves regarded as threats to its monopoly on power.(RICHARD M,1999)

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The car market

China's passenger car market is expected to grow from 740,000 units in 2001 to 1.3 million units by 2005. This growth will be supported by the growing middle class and by the opening of the Chinese market that is expected to take place following China's joining the WTO. In addition, China is slowly transitioning from a limited institutional vehicle market to a potentially vast consumer-driven market. Some forecasts predict that China's market could be as large as Japan's by 2010 and as big as the U.S. market by 2025.(MESSINA,2004)

A) ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECT

China has become ...

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