Simulations Reflection Paper

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Simulations Reflection Paper

University of Phoenix

MKT 551

June 22, 2006

Introduction

Three important concepts and tools used in marketing are forecasting market demand, service added differentiation, and channel development and pricing. These are all reviewed in three simulations: forecasting market demand simulation, service added based differentiation simulation, and channel development and pricing simulation. The results, concepts and principles, and lessons learned will be presented in this reflection paper.

Results Obtained

The results obtain by the individual team members differ in each simulation. The marketing demand simulation teaches the importance of predicting or forecasting the demand for products or services. However, accurately forecasting market demand is not easy but it is important and is something that needs to be done, as a marketing success may be partially dependent on this forecasting. The forecasting can be based on various sources such as expectations, opinions, statements, historical patterns/forecasts, and various other subjective elements. In this simulation, we are presented with three different scenarios, which required forecasting demand for the company’s newly developed voice recognition software.

The results obtained from the simulation will be divided by the different scenarios presented in the simulation. The results obtained from the first scenario are actual sales volume that are very close to forecasted sales volume and is broken down in detail as follows: forecasted volume – 110,000; forecasted price - $205; actual volume – 108,000. This result is due to the ideal pricing of the new software, which was set slightly high. The result obtained from the second scenario, on an overall, total basis, is actual sales volume being fairly close to forecasted sales volume and profitably that is higher than the 5% target. The results obtained for each of the three target segments of the market are summarized in the chart below:

Lastly, the result obtained from the final scenario is to extend the voice recognition software beyond computers into Global Positioning Systems (GPS) and Security Systems. The forecasted and actual sales volume and profitability (5% minimum) is broken down as follows: forecasted volume – 280,000; actual volume – 276,375; profitability (at a price of $305) – 7.35%.

On the second simulation, Service Added Based Differentiation, as the market becomes mature, the company has to choose some different services so it can gain competitive advantages. In first scenario, we have three ideas to choose, such as car wash, GPS navigation and collision insurance. One member chooses free weekly car wash and a free GPS navigation system. However, GPS navigation system did not create a sufficient value perception in the minds of the customers. The sales targets are not met although the profitability is above the limit. On the other hand, the other member chooses car wash and collision insurance. His decision has a good performance due to differentiation of new services and sufficient profitability. The difference of two members’ result is whether they focus on increasing the customers’ value perception. To achieve this, the team should think about consumers’ needs more than profitability.

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The Channel Development and Pricing simulation examined the effectiveness of distribution channel, and assesses the parameter to apply the right channel. When deciding the distributor to go with one has to look at:

  • Number of year of experience the distributor has been in the industry
  • Financial strength
  • Coverage and
  • Control over resellers and stores

Coverage is key in distribution the more the product is seen, the more people will be likely to buy. A distributor may not be a big distributor but their wide experience, reputation and network of representative offices and their degree of influence ...

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