Solutions to this problem may include:
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Conciliation, AKA Bilateral Diplomatic Negotiations – whereby a neutral third party acts as a conciliator for the parties in dispute, and meets with them separately in an attempt to resolve their differences. In this case, the conciliator would help Globingo and Kalinga to discuss their dispute and hopefully come to an agreement. This method would not cause any bloodshed, and is probably one of the most peaceful ways possible. However, Kalinga’s ruler may not be willing to do this, seeing as he is driven by his ambition and greed for Globingo’s land and resources, and may not agree to talk when he has the ability to take over Globingo.
A conflict that has been resolved using this method in the past is the Egypt/Israel peace treaty in 1978, signed in Washington DC on March 26th, 1979.
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Full Military Mobilization – although its military budgets are small compared to Kalinga, the Globingo government possesses a well-equipped air force, which has a chance of overpowering the Kalinga military forces by cross-border bombing raids. However, many civilians’ lives will be endangered by this process, and much damage will be caused to the surrounding regions, resulting in costly repairs.
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Trade embargo – since Globingo has access to the sea, they must have some form of trading arrangement with Kalinga. If they threaten to cut off trading, Kalinga’s people would suffer, which would force the government into a more vulnerable position, thereby lessening the menace it poses and giving Globingo firmer debating ground.
An example of a conflict solved by this method is the US embargo against Cuba, imposed on February 7th 1962 after Cuba seized the properties of the United States citizens and corporations. After the embargo was enacted, Cuba suffered great economic damages due to the barriers to development (which shows that embargos do have the ability to impair a country.)
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De-escalation measures to reduce tension. This refers to whichever methods intended to escape any irrational opinions or actions based on the psychological bias caused by a certain commitment, which in this case consists of the Kalawi dictator’s commitment to routing the Dinga people. However, this method may take a long time to become effective, and within that time, Globingo’s economy may have deteriorated even further due to higher costs caused by the refugees, and Kalinga may be even more impatient and eager to attack.
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World Bank, or aid from MEDCs – with donations and contributions from MEDCs around the world, Globingo may have a chance of retaining its former prosperity whilst managing to avoid full-out conflict with Kalinga. An example of this is when the USA and Japan offered aid to North Korea in the 1990’s.
However, help from foreign countries may simply show Globingo’s weakness, and may prompt the opposing nation to attack. It will also leave Globingo in debt, which may cause poverty and corruption within the country later on in the future.
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UN Assistance – where the UN offers its help towards Globingo, perhaps aiding the refugees through charity and helping to reduce the factors that are causing Kalinga to become so hostile. They may also post military men around the area to ensure that Kalinga does not launch any attacks until the conflict has been resolved. This is perhaps one of the safest methods available.
In conclusion, I recommend using the trade embargo method as well as enlisting help from the United Nations. If Globingo has enough influence over Kalinga’s trading structure, then cutting off its international trade routes (through the sea) would be an effective maneuver, and would offer them a better bargaining position. Kalinga’s forces would also be weakened, thus lessening the chances of any attack.
However, if Globingo enacts the trade embargo, it may simply anger the Kalawi dictator into launching an attack. This is where the UN comes in. With soldiers from the United Nations on their side, Globingo will be able to hold off an attack until Kalinga finally agrees to negotiate. At this point, a conciliator will be chosen to help settle the dispute between the two nations, and hopefully restore peace to the region.
In my opinion, this is the best and safest method that the Globingo government could employ, and by following these steps, I think that Globingo will be able to resolve the conflict threatening it at present.
