HSBC – It seems like the “average improvement” on the UK economy lead to a slightly below average expansion of HSBC. Their pre-tax profit (A.1) was £1900m. Looking at market capitalisation, HSBC was on £26081m
Lloyds – Even though Lloyds TSB made £1772m more pre-tax profit than HSBC in the same year, their market capitalisation was below HSBC’s, at £16843m (A.2).
[1996]
The UK Economy – Real GDP grew again by 2.8 % (A.3), which means the national economy has improved yet again, making consumers more confident. This year 64.3% of all GDP was consumed up and only 35.7% invested.
HSBC – their profit rose by 23.23% and was still in lead over Lloyds TSB in terms of AMOUNT of Profit. Their market capitalisation rose to £34146m.
Lloyds TSB – Although HSBC generated more profit, Lloyds had just merged with TSB and created Lloyds TSB. The percentage growth (A.7) was 31.84%, which shows that they managed to grow “more Efficiently” than HSBC. Their market capitalisation rose up to £22962m, which is a massive jump from £16843m.
[1997]
The UK economy – On (A.3) you can clearly again see that the GDP rose by 3.5% which would probably boost the confidence for the next following year. The consumption of all GDP stayed on 64.3%. During the first quarter of 97, the consumer confidence figures rose pretty rapidly (A.5) then slightly fell and during the second half of 97 it increased slowly. This could indicate that people were unsure if a fall in the economy would happen soon because of the continuous growth.
HSBC – HSBC generated slightly more profit than their previous year (A.7) with a 9% increase. Their market capitalisation had a pretty slight growth as well with about £6000m.
Lloyds TSB – It seemed that as they merged they gained a lot more market share as they also gained TSB’s MKT Capitalisation. They generated 26% more profit than the previous year. Impressively their market capitalisation almost doubled from £22962m to £42467m, which indicates that the merging paid off.
[1998]
The UK economy – not as much action as the previous year, consumer confidence fell dramatically and real GDP only increased by 2.2% (A.3).
HSBC – They made less profit than the previous year, and their performance was 19.7% LESS than last year (A.1). They managed to increase their market capitalisation, but by almost £2000m, which is very poor compared to the previous years.
Lloyds TSB – for the first time, Lloyds TSB managed to gain more market capitalisation than HSBC with an increase to £46478m (A.2). although they performed worse than their previous year, it was only by 9%.
[1999]
UK economy – I can only say that consumer confidence was not low and the economy seemed to be in a stationary moment.
HSBC – A MASSIVE growth in market share. Almost doubled, having £72993m in mkt capitalisation (A.1). Their profit increased by 24.9 but there must have been a strategic more drawn by HSBC to gain the amount of Mkt capitalisation they got.
Lloyds TSB – a pretty stable growth in pre-tax profit, generating 20% more profit than the previous year. But this year, Lloyds TSB lost some market share down to £42412m, probably to HSBC.
Conclusion
The difference in approach between these two companies were that Lloyds and TSB merged wich is a form of expansion, while HSBC tried to expand strategically. I was right in my hypothesis that Lloyds TSB grew more “effectively” than HSBC during the first couple of years of merging. But HSBC managed to strike back and expand without merging or taking over.
The UK economy affected the firm’s growth to an extent. A rather HIGH extent. The trend I managed to spot was as economy grew consumers were more confident, and they spent more, causing them to need money and that is good for the banks as they need people to take loans just to manage to survive and generate their own profit/success. But I have also proved that the economy was not the only factor. My example in this case is the year of 1999 where HSBC grew dramatically and gained a massive market capitalisation while the economy were in no extreme state.
Evaluation
HSBC and Lloyds TSB didn’t have any figures published from before 1995. They were available on order through Hemscott.com and “FinanceCity” but the time taken for delivery of figures was above my restricted time for this investigation. Therefore in “Year-By-Year Analysis”, for 1995, I couldn’t figure out to see if either of them had made a progress.
I tried to organise an interview, and carry out other primary research, which could have helped me find out some specific details from managers and employees on why they thought they had expanded/constrained growth. Sometimes the reason for constrained growth can be internal factors such as managerial conflict, poor leadership, employee illnesses/absence etc. Unfortunately none of the bank managers were willing to participate in an interview.
1999 is a year where I did not have figures for real GDP change. I proved that consumer demand was low but HSBC still managed to increase so dramatically. This is a case where interview, insider information or some sort of primary research could have been useful.
Appendices
Calculations:
Pre tax profit growth (96):
HSBC: {(4524 - 3672) / 3672} x 100 = 23.23%
Lloyds TSB: {(2505 – 1900) / 1900} x 100 = 31.84%
Pre tax profit growth (97):
HSBC: {(4935 – 4524) / 4524} x 100 = 9.08%
Lloyds TSB: {(3162 – 2505) / 2505} x 100 = 26.23%
Pre tax profit growth (98):
HSBC: {(3962 – 4935) / 4935} x 100 = -19.72%
Lloyds TSB: {(3015 – 3162) / 3162} x 100 = -4.65%
Pre tax profit growth (99):
HSBC: {(4949 – 3962) / 3962} x 100 = 24.91%
Lloyds TSB: {(3621 – 3015) / 3015} x 100 = 20.09%
Company Information:
Lloyds TSB Group PLC:
OLD NAME: (28 Dec 95) TSB Group PLC
ACTIVITIES: Banking and financial services
STATUS: Full; Lon option.
INDEX: FTSE 100
SECTOR: Banks
NO.EMP: 85,113 (86,486).
REM: £1717m (£1736m).
INTERIM: (30 Jul 99) 1/2 yr to 30 Jun 99. Pre tax profit £1,853m (£1,280m). EPS 23.7p (16.8p) Int div 8.10p (6.70p).
NOTES: The company was formed through the merger of Lloyds Bank PLC and TSB Group PLC on 28 Dec 95. Figures relate only to Lloyds TSB Group PLC.
HSBC (Midland Bank)
ACTIVITIES: Banking and financial services
STATUS: Full; Lon option; ADR.
INDEX: FTSE 100
SECTOR: Banks
NO.EMP: 146,897 (144,521).
REM: £4149m (£3811m).
INTERIM: (2 Aug 99) 1/2 yr to 30 Jun 99. Pre tax profit £2,510m (£2,208m). EPS
20.0p (18.0p). Int div 8.40p (7.37p).
LLOYDS
year ended 31 December 1995(14) 1996 1997 1998 1999
pre tax profit £m 1900 2505 3162 3015 3621
norm earn per share p 25.6 32.3 39.6 36.9 47.9
FRS3 earn per share p 22.5 31.2 42.8 38.5 45.3
div per share p 7.80 13.2 17.2 22.2 26.6
intangibles £m - - - 216 231
fixed assets £m 2354 1962 1699 1634 1668
fixed investments £m 30743 28643 29115 31562 36152
advances, debtors £m 92590 96641 103342 112236 118459
short term assets £m 14594 10997 13664 16323 14563
liquid assets, cash £m 7766 9124 10286 6026 5018
creditors short £m 119646 117097 124134 129112 128844
creditors long £m 19718 21243 23469 27347 32028
subordinated loans £m 3839 3919 4209 4021 6493
prefs, minorities £m 635 34.0 40.0 42.0 33.0
ord cap, reserves £m 4209 5074 6254 7475 8693
mkt capitalisation £m 16843 22962 42467 46478 42412
HSBC
year ended 31 December 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
pre tax profit £m 3672 4524 4935 3962 4949
norm earn per share p 29.3 36.1 38.2 31.2 38.1
FRS3 earn per share p 31.3 39.2 41.3 32.0 40.3
div per share p 10.7 13.7 16.7 18.9 21.1
intangibles £m - - - 88.0 4055
fixed assets £m 5790 6238 7912 7301 7978
fixed investments £m 17558 19993 22229 28591 62266
advances, debtors £m 148963 156267 187653 186601 212113
short term assets £m 28804 29847 37107 38895 31331
liquid assets, cash £m 25703 24208 31413 29850 35122
creditors short £m 197238 203962 246746 248338 300440
creditors long £m 8612 9304 14555 18005 19885
subordinated loans £m 5539 5975 6389 6539 9562
prefs, minorities £m 2042 2125 2186 1921 2266
ord cap, reserves £m 13387 15187 16438 16523 20713
mkt capitalisation £m 26081 34146 40697 41997 72993