Survey Research (Descriptive/Confirmative)

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Institute for Tourism Studies                                                          

Research Method (MGMT411)

Assignment  III: Survey Research (Descriptive/Confirmative)

and Recommendations 

11 Jan 2009

Prepared for                 Anthony Wong

Presented by         Danny Chao                 (S050293)

                        Edwin Cheong        (S050345)

Crystal Chau          (S050460)

Cherry Leong         (S050451)

Marco Tong                (S050673)

Content

Introduction ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 3

Sampling Methodology -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 5

Survey Stages and Design --------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 6

Overview of Interviewee Demographics ---------------------------------------------------------------- P. 7

Limitation ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 7

Analysis of the survey results ----------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 8

Inferential Statistics  ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 15

Recommendation -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- P. 36


Introduction

An overview of the tourism literature in the previous secondary data collection and analysis exploratory research shows a lack of cross-cultural and international research, particularly in consumer behaviour and marketing even as of today. Frédéric Dimanche pointed out in 1994 that tourism researchers seemed to be extremely slow in recognising the fact that tourism has become an international phenomenon of global consequence given the small number of cross-cultural research publications. It was indicated that “serious study of travel and tourism eventually involves detailed consideration of international concern”. Failing to address the cross-cultural issues that govern tourist behaviour, effective city marketing research directions cannot be realised, thus hindering the development of a sustainable tourism that is less fragile withstanding external diasasters like the most recent Financial Tsunami.

Market research constitutes a very important part of an effective destination city marketing plan implementation as stated by Jansen-Verbeke and van Rekom in 1996. Most studies focus on tourism and cultural development of cities and regions using primary researches and econometric – quantitative analysis, while there is a need to investigate tourism trends globally, to analyse tourists’ behaviour and their particular characteristics, as well as to audit the strengths and weaknesses of the individual city in order to become competitive in international tourism and cultural market. Under such a vision, the in-depth interview and survey design (the second assignment) was conducted aiming at exploring the preference and motivation of the tourists coming to Macao, in which luckily interesting results were found.

This assignment reveals results of a study undertaken with the tourists interviewed during 20 to 27 December 2008, yielding a number of 50 valid responses. The objective of the assignment is to better understand marketing problems and then to provide recommendations for the marketing plan of the Tourism industry that has been in concern since the first assignment.

The report comprises two major parts: the analysis of the survey results and the recommendations for the marketing plan.


Sampling Methodology

Simple random sampling without replacement is engaged for the survey for obtaining data in this quantitative research. This method is designed to protect a survey from selection bias by randomly selecting the sample with equal probability to any other possible sample. Based on the key patterns and irregularities found in the exploratory research with in-depth interviews that utilised the purposive sampling technique, a series of questions have been designed and combined into a more elaborated questionnaire in conjunction with other groups in the Research Methods class for the survey. The questionnaire concerns about the interviewees’ personal motives, also known as push motives, and the pull motives Macao offers as a tourism destination, the questionnaire also concerns about the behavioral consequences so as to explore how tourist behaviours relate with the motivations. In this sampling methodology, each interviewee is chosen entirely by chance at 3 locations where tourists are likely to be found (Leal Senado Square, the Border Gate, Macao Ferry Terminal) and each member of the tourist population has an equal chance of being included in the sample. Every possible sample of a given size also has the same chance of selection.


Survey stages and design

  1. General design:

Quantitative study using a structured questionnaire interviewing random samples.

  1. Sample size:

Fifty (50) people of both gender below 60 years old.

  1. Interviewee sources:

Leal Senado Square, the Border Gate, Macao Ferry Terminal spanning 20 to 27 December 2008.

  1. Primary outcome:

Identification of descriptive findings presented as means and percentages for the variables of interest in the study and the inferential findings illustrated by mean comparisons, association and prediction analysis, from which rationales for the findings are provided that comply with the theories, secondary data collected and the in-depth interview findings.

  1. Secondary outcome:

Recommendations for the Tourism market segmentation and positioning strategies.


Overview of interviewee demographics

Regarding the age of the interviewees, the mean value in the selection of age group is 2.96 which tends to lie on the third group “31 to 40 years old” with a standard deviation of 1.124. Among the 50 interviewees, two age groups formed the majority of each 34% (each 17 interviewees) and they are the “21 to 30 years old” and “41-50 years old” groups. 18% (9 interviewees) were from the “31 to 40 years old” group, 8% (4 interviewees) were below 20 years old and 6% (3 interviewees) were 51 to 60 years old.

As for the place of origin, 40% were from Mainland China (20 interviewees), 30% from Hong Kong (15 interviewees), 20 from other countries in Asia (10 interviewees), 6% from Taiwan China (3 interviewees), 4% from other places (2 interviewees) with 1 interviewee rejected to reveal where he was from. Although not in exact proportion, this distribution in place of origin resembles that of the real situation, with most tourists coming from Mainland China, Hong Kong, other countries in Asia, Taiwan and other places in a descending order.

64% (32 interviewees) visitors being interviewed were male, and 36% (18 interviewees) were female. The majority were bachelor degree holders which measured up to 48% (24 interviewees), followed by 26% (13 interviewees) of Senior high school graduate. 6% (3 interviewees) graduated with a master degree, while another 6% (3 interviewees) graduated from Junior high school, 4% (2 interviewees) received only primary school education and 2% (1 interviewee) had no proper education received at all. The rest (8%, 4 interviewees) had vocational training as their highest education.

Limitation

Simple random sampling with a sample size of merely 50 would produce an average margin of error at 95% confidence of approximately 0.139 as compared to the margin of error of 0.028 when the sample size was 1,200. It is also vulnerable to sampling error because the randomness, especially with small samples, of the selection may result in a sample that does not reflect the proportion of the whole tourist population.

Analysis of the survey results

Their mean length of stay was estimated to be 2.32 days (with a standard deviation of 1.659), this value is in accordance to the 1.5 nights (with a deviation of 0.20) estimated in the first 10 months of 2008 by the Statistics & Census Service even with the relatively small sample we have covered. Our sample still reflects the real situation that the majority of tourists (totally 72%) stay either 1 or 2 days (which means 0 to 1 overnight stay). In details, 30% of the interviewed tourists (15 people) were here for a one-day visit, 42% (21 people) were in Macao for a 2-day visit, 18% (9 people) were for a 3-day trip, 4% (2 people) were here for 4 days. No interviewee chose the options of 5-day, 6-day or 7-day stay but 6% (3 people) were staying in Macao for more than 7 days.

For the question concerning their travel expenditure in Macao, the mean value was 3.84 (with a standard deviation of 1.707, which lies between the third and fourth choices in the questionnaire of “MOP 1,001 to MOP 2,000” and “MOP 2,001 to MOP 3,000”. 24% (12 interviewees) spent MOP 1,001 to MOP 2,000, 20% (10 interviewees) spent MOP 500 to MOP 1,000 and another 20% spent MOP 2,001 to MOP 3,000, 14% (7 interviewees) spent MOP 3,001 to MOP 4,000, 12% (6 interviewees) spent MOP 4,001 to MOP 5,000, 4% (2 interviewees) spent MOP 5,001 to MOP 6,000, while on the extremes are 4% (2 interviewees) spending less than MOP 500 and 2% (1 interviewee) spending MOP 8,001 to MOP 10,000. Incidentally, this result shows a normal distribution.


Personal (Push) Motives in Macao

  1. Novelty and Culture Seeking

Regarding the degree of agreement in visiting cultural heritage sites as the interviewees’ personal motives, the mean value in selection was 5.26 (with a standard deviation of 1.291) which signifies on average the interviewees either slightly agree or agree with the statement. Regarding the personal motive of coming to Macao to experience East meets West, the mean value was 5.32 (with a standard deviation of 1.253), showing the majority either slightly agree or agree with the idea. As for the motive of coming to experience a unique culture, the mean value of 5.22 (with a standard deviation of 1.298) was found, the interviewees continued to express a slight agreement or agreement with this statement. For the motives of seeking new experience, experiencing different lifestyle and increasing knowledge about a foreign destination, the mean values are 4.9 (standard deviation of 1.555), 4.68 (standard deviation of 1.544) and 4.82 (standard deviation of 1.574) respectively, showing that the interviewees either slightly agree with the mentioned motives or were neutral in the ideas. As for the reason to come to Macao for indulging luxury, the mean value was 3.52 (standard deviation of 1.729) and in fact, the percentage of interviewees disagreeing with the idea (strongly disagree, disagree and slightly disagree) totally measured up to 56% (6, 10 and 12 interviewees respectively).

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  1. Relaxation and Social

When asked if going to places with friends or family was a personal motive for the interviewees to come to Macao, the mean value of selection was 5.44 (standard deviation of 1.58) showing that they agree with this statement, in fact, 32% (16 people) chose strongly agree, showing that most of them (76%, 38 interviewees) came to Macao with someone else. Similar to the above motive, for enhancing their relationship with friends or family yielded 5.46 (standard deviation of 1.446) in mean value of selection, having 30% (15 people) strongly agreeing the statement. 4.98 (standard deviation ...

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