The Sino-British Dispute Over Hong Kong: A game theory interpretation.

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THE SINO-BRITISH DISPUTE OVER HONG KONG: A Game Theory Interpretation by Ma Ngok

The author reviews, in this article, the history of Sino-British negotiations over the future of Hong Kong.  Sino-British negotiations had a history of volatile relations and significant twists, with significant moments in their negotiation history being 1982-1984, when China was generally acknowledged to have “won”, as well as 1992-1993, when the British negotiating team was seen to have changed their negotiation tactic from one of cooperation to confrontation.

In the article, the author sets out to fulfill two main objectives – to argue a detailed analytical review of Sino-British negotiations from the 1980s to the 1990s and to propose and argue for a “game theory” metaphor that provides reasons for Sino-British negotiation tactics.

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The “Game Theory” Metaphor

The author proposes the “game theory” metaphor to represent the benefit and loss situation faced by both Great Britain and China during their negotiations from the 1980s to the 1990s.  Upon explaining why both parties had a common interest in “maintaining Hong Kong as a free and prosperous city”, the author then explains the workings of the “game theory” metaphor – DD being the worst case scenario for both parties (where a break off in negotiations could destroy Hong Kong), DC being the best scenario for both parties (where greater political control would mean greater ...

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