Why were Marx's expectations of a proletarian revolution in western Europe never realised?

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Why were Marx's expectations of a proletarian revolution in western Europe never realised?

According to Marx, capitalism was eroding from within, helplessly creating the seeds of its own destruction. He believed that weakening profits would accelerate the monopolistic concentration of capital, which in turn would stimulate over-production in an attempt to recover lost profits. These in turn would fall even further, and a vicious spiral would emerge. Markets would become glutted, workers laid off and the entire economic foundations of capitalism would collapse. The increasingly pauperised proletariat would finally discover that they themselves were the overwhelming majority of the population, as opposed to a handful of capitalists. The thoroughly socialized proletariat would be aware of a system that permitted a very small group to benefit from the poverty of a vast majority of the people. Their consciousness of unnecessary servitude coupled with a sense of their own power would bring about the great proletarian revolution. Why then if such a revolution was inevitable, did it not occur in western Europe according to Marx's expectations?

A crucial variable for any understanding of the relative quiescence of the proletariat until the 1880's can be found in the absence of expectations, traditions of resistance to authority and economic exploitation. Groups from harsh rural backgrounds often had low expectations and displayed a traditional resignation in the face of adversity. In addition, low wages and a long and exhausting working day, simply meant that most of the unskilled labour had neither the time, the energy, nor the money to participate in political organisation. In Russia, where traditions of peasant collectivism and radicalism was strong, the unskilled workers of the 1860's and 1870's expressed their discontent with the capitalist system through desertion, drunkenness and violence. Furthermore, religious attitudes also had a profound effect upon the political attitudes of the labour force before the First World War. Confessional ties remained crucial in Germany; Catholic workers formed their own trade unions and remained loyal to the confessional Centre Party in the main until 1918. It has also been recognised that areas of high religious observance in France were areas in which the left fared badly at the polls. Confessional allegiance not only kept a significant section of the European working class away from radical politics, it also served to divide labour in its struggle against the employer. Thus different kinds of backgrounds and different levels of skill greatly influenced the different styles of working class protest and may well have prevented a unified proletarian revolution.

It has widely been held that the working class of the more advanced industrial states of Europe became less radical in the course of time, and increasingly contented with its relatively comfortable lot within an affluent capitalist society. The days of the barricades had passed, (except in underdeveloped Russia), and even when workers did complain, their demands were limited in scope and certainly constituted no real challenge to the existing order. The argument that European labour lost its revolutionary initiative between 1890 and 1914 assumes two related forms. The first constitutes a set of statements about the leaders of organized unions and political parties, and the second implies that it was not only the formal institutions of labour, but the working class of the advanced nations of western Europe in general, that became drawn into the prevailing economic, political and social order.

In France, the insurrections of 1871 were the last of the old style barricades, and were produced by a peculiar set of circumstances determined by French defeat in the Franco-Prussian war. At the same time, French anarcho-syndicalist trade unions concentrated on the formulation of immediate economic demands, despite their noises about a revolutionary general strike, and the Socialist party became increasingly preoccupied with electoral victories. In Italy, a significant section of the PSI were prepared to co-operate with Giolitti's politics in the hope of making material gains, and in Spain the perspective of the Socialist Party was also predominantly reformist until the First World War.

However, there is further evidence which implicates the working class rank and file in this process of de-radicalisation. Despite the occasional insurrection in Spain and Italy, the European working class did seem to abandon the barricade for the strike, and insurrection for peaceful organisation. The industrial workers of western Europe did not mount a frontal assault on capitalist society before 1914, and it is therefore argued that the success of trade unions and political parties, indicates that the reformists were meeting the rank and files more pressing demands.

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The failure of western European labour to adopt a Marxist stance, unlike the Bolsheviks, obviously requires a great deal of explanation, and part of that explanation must lie in the fact that western governments were never as repressive as their Tsarist counterparts. One major variable which may have influenced the European workers and their representatives, and persuaded them to abandon a position of complete hostility, was the relative political relaxation which occurred in several states in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. Although the French working class experienced much greater governmental repression than its English counterpart, that repression ...

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