Despite the high hopes of a decade ago, post-communist Russia has clearly not emerged as a liberal democracy. Why has it not done so?

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        When, in May 1985, in the then city of Leningrad (now St. Petersburg), Mikhail Gorbachev announced reforms in the USSR, both economic and structural, there were high hopes in the West of a prolonged period of détente. By 1991, however, the Soviet Union had ceased to exist and those who had before expected only structural reform, now hoped that glasnost and perestroika would eventually lead to ‘liberal’ demokratizatsiya. Two decades after the fall of the Iron Curtain, the Russian Federation is still a powerful global player, but has the hope of liberal democracy transpired?

        The title question of this essay asks why Russia has not emerged as a liberal democracy despite more than twenty years of reform. To begin to answer this question we must first ascertain whether the expectations of Russia transforming into a liberal democracy were justified. Why did politicians and political scientists in the West take it for granted that a post-communist state would inevitably move towards liberal democracy when no proven models were available? Surely there are other factors besides simple multi-party electoral reform that need to be taken into account when determining processes of systematic change, to allow for any firm teleological view to be convincing.

        Russia came, in what Samuel P. Huntington called the ‘third-wave of democratization’, by a process termed as ‘replacement’, in which the authoritarian regime collapsed leaving a quasi-vacuum in political authority. Though the transformation is considered by some to be towards a democratic system of government in theory, the final destination is a matter of debate. In this work, we will first seek to establish what conditions are necessary for the establishment and consolidation of liberal democracy, and why Russia has not met these requirements. In this short analysis, it would be impossible to discuss in great detail all the reasons but the most vital will be dwelt upon. We will analyze the crucial years of transition after the fall of communism and determine what steps were taken in the process of democratization. We will also look at the political actors, institutions and interests which ushered Russia into the twenty-first century. Thus, with the aid of models of democratic transition this work will establish the core reasons as to why Russia has not emerged as a liberal democracy and thus hope to provide a definitive analysis of the question posed.

Models

        Sanford Lakoff, in his detailed analysis of democratic reform, provides us with five different proven ‘modes of transition’ to liberal democracy. Of these five, the ‘transformation from above’ method fits best with the process of reform that has been prevalent in post-communist Russia. Democracy was not the call of the people in Russia, who had wished in 1990, for more political and economic freedom, at best. The initial process was begun by the ruling elite of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union (CPSU), more specifically by Gorbachev. Though his reforms did not include any transition to democracy from communism, the process was hijacked by ‘democrats’ within the higher echelons, forcing him at last to concede. These ‘democrats’, as they were known, instituted a gradual move towards a more representative form of government, aided by an oligarchical elite. Though in no way did these men see the final goal of Russia as liberal democracy. And for all the ‘hopes’ of NATO members, those who were close to the reformists in Russia, themselves did not envisage liberal democracy as seen in the West. Even today, calls for liberal democratic reform have only been heard from isolated sectors of the Russian academia, and are not representative of the majority of the Russian populace.

        

        For, as Richard Sakwa has argued, the Russian psyche is not ready or willing for liberal democracy. The multinational Russian peoples have always had strong, federal centers of power and the concept of a decentralized government is quite unappealing to the majority. Fareed Zakaria has argued that, for this reason, those who are at the helm of the reform process have been unwilling to share power with other political parties or involve the public in decision-making and thus Russia can be said to be a democracy ‘in theory and not in practice’ - an illiberal democracy.

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        A related issue that has oft been debated is the way in which this ‘transformation from above’ is being instituted. Most scholars of democracy will agree that a country which has recently emerged from communism needs to reform both its economic and political policies to be able to move towards democracy. However, the order in which these should be reformed is contentious. Observers of China say that its policy, in recent decades, of economic restructuring towards a more open market policy before any political reform is the most stable method of approaching democracy. Russia is in the process of reforming ...

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