Describe the main strengths and weaknesses of the cosmological argument for the existence of God.

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a.) Describe the main strengths and weaknesses of the cosmological argument for the existence of God (14)

The term cosmological comes from the Greek cosmos, ‘world’ or ‘universe’. The cosmological argument is based on facts about the world. Cosmology refers to the study of the universe.                 

Unlike the Ontological Argument, the Cosmological Argument proceeds a posteriori. It begins with a very general claim about the physical universe that is meant to be supported by observation - e.g., the claim that some events have causes - and then proceeds to the conclusion that there must be a supernatural agent that somehow causes or explains this fact of experience.

Aquinas’ argument arrives at ‘That which is necessary to explain the universe’ or that which is necessary to explain causation or contingency. We do not know what God is, but whatever God is, God is whatever is necessary to explain the universe’s existence. It is important to recognise that God is de re necessary (factually necessary) – necessary in and out of himself and cause of himself. An example of de re necessary being… ‘all bears are brown’ – this is a synthetic statement, statements which are true because of the evidence. They may or may not be true.

St Thomas Aquinas, in the thirteenth century, formulated the famous ‘five ways’ by which God’s existence can be demonstrated philosophically, I will be examining ways two and three.

2.) The argument from the universal fact of cause and effect. For example, a table is brought into being by a carpenter, who is caused by his parents. Again, we cannot go into infinity, so there must be a first cause, which is God.

3.) The argument from potentiality. All physical things, even mountains, boulders, and rivers, come into being and go out of existence, no matter how long they last. Therefore, since time is infinite, there must be some time in which none of these things existed. But if there were nothing at that point in time, how could there be anything at all now, since nothing cannot cause anything? Thus, there must always have been at least one necessary thing that is eternal, which is God.        

        The Cosmological Argument has one tremendous advantage. It starts from an invulnerable first premise which we all accept, the existence of the universe. It is a posteriori argument, an argument that starts from something we experience, in this case, the universe. The steps in the cosmological argument may be challenged, but its starting point is undoubted.

        Another advantage is that the cosmological argument is that it is based on the ordinary experiences with which anyone can identify. Why is this ball moving? And what made the racquet hit it? And what brought the tennis player into existence? And so on. Anyone demanding a total explanation of anything, can, pursue the question further and further back, and has to arrive at an ultimate answer.

        The Third Way of Aquinas argues logically for the existence of a god, but doesn't necessitate the Judeao-Christian God of his own tradition. Aquinas tried to fill this gap by claiming that a being of self-explaining, necessary existence would by nature possess the attributes which are suggested in nature to the point of perfection. Thus, since human beings are imperfect personalities who reason, emote, act, communicate, etc., God also possesses analogous qualities in perfection. Also, Aquinas argued, that which is found in the ultimate cause must also be found in the offspring, a line of reasoning that led to the Fifth Way.

The Cosmological argument is developed around a distinction between that which has necessary existence and that which is contingent. A thing that has necessary existence must exist in all possible worlds, whereas a thing that is contingent may go out of existence.

The method Aquinas uses is to set up the contrary position, then prove it to be wrong. Therefore, the cosmological argument begins by accepting the premise that all things are contingent. If all things are contingent, i.e., if all things can go out of existence and do not necessarily exist, then there must be a time where all things go out of existence.

Aquinas appeals to the *Principle of Plentitude* at this juncture, which states that if something is a real possibility, then given an infinite amount of time, it should happen. Real possibilities show up. It is a real possibility that if everything is contingent, everything could go out of existence at once, given that time is infinite at any point, such as now. 

If this were the case, then there would be nothing now - but such an idea is absurd since we have the evidence of existent things which we can perceive. Yet, that could be because everything comes out of existence, then back into existence. Aquinas answers this from the principle of *ex nihilo, nihil fit* - if something comes out of existence, it cannot come back into existence. Once something ceases to exist, it cannot suddenly exist again. Our sense perceptions and experience tell us that something exists, something is there, and therefore everything has not ever gone out of existence. Therefore, all things cannot be contingent. Corollary to this is the conclusion that there must then be such a thing as a necessary existence.

        Aquinas furthers his premise by supposing that there is a hierarchy of being with necessary existence, each lower being dependent upon the higher to infinity. The hierarchy of necessary existence itself would need an explanation for its existence. Here, Aquinas appeals to the *principle of sufficient reason*, which states that everything that happens has to have a sufficient explanation for occurrences. Since the hierarchy of necessary existences would therefore need to be explained, because of the principle of sufficient reason, it would need a self-explaining necessary being, standing outside the series, to explain the order of the hierarchy. Deductively, that self-explaining necessary being would be that which humans understand to be God. Hence, the definition of "God" that Aquinas arrives at is this: The self-explaining necessary existence upon which all things are contingent in all possible worlds.

        David Hume provided a rational path out of the cosmological argument for the existence of God according to Aquinas. Writing during the Scottish enlightment of the 1700s, Hume claimed that the principle of "ex nihilo, nihil fit" is untrue; if something can pop into existence and pop out of existence, then it cannot also pop back into existence again. Thus, according to Hume, all things may be contingent, without any need for necessary existence.

Here the arguments are ordered so we can examine specific premises.

The second way: the argument from efficient causes 

1) There is an order of efficient causes; that is, some things cause other things to exist. 

2) Nothing can cause itself to exist.

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3) There can’t have been an infinite series of things causing other things to exist.

4) There was a first cause, itself uncaused (God).

Here the second premise is plausible. It is surely true that nothing can cause itself to exist, since the cause must always come before the effect, so the thing would have to exist before it existed, which is absurd. Although a troublesome third premise is here, which we will discuss later.

The third way: the contingency argument 

1) Some things are contingent (they might not have existed).

2) Anything which might not have existed at one time ...

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