The practical we carried out is based on that of Stoner (1961) and is concerned with group decision making.

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The practical we carried out is based on that of Stoner (1961) and is concerned with group decision making. Before the work of Stoner the general assumption was that group decisions were more conservative than that of individuals. There are several factors, which influence group decisions. Baron (1994) states that these include relevant information being discussed before a decision is formed and that personal decisions are discussed. This is supported by Forsyth (1990). He goes on to argue it was also assumed that decisions made by groups were better. For instance a jury consists of a group as opposed to an individual as it is assumed their decision will be better. Stoner’s research (1961) completely contradicts these assumptions. He found groups tended to take more risky decisions. He called this a risky shift. However, later it was found some groups also become more conservative than individuals. This is known as group polarisation. Hogg and Vaughan (1994) state that this means that groups generally make more extreme decisions that are either more risky or more conservative. Baron (1994) also argues that there are problems with group decisions such as the fact that too much cohesiveness can be dangerous. In the practical we carried out we were given six situations and we gave the minimum probability of success that we would demand before recommending that the person attempt the new course of action.

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What we discovered after carrying out the practical was that many of the class means changed after group discussion. Some of the probabilities changed by a small amount and others more dramatically. For situation 1 the mean only rose from 29.3 to 30, which is quite an insignificant rise. However, in situation 2 there was a large rise from 35.3 to 39.4. A change in either a cautious or a risky direction is known as group polarisation and the class data demonstrates that group discussion does ...

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