Enlargement is the main challenge for the European Union. How will this affect the political and economic future of the European Union?

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        European Business Environment

Teacher: Stephen Campbell

(BS 212-2)

Student number B28, January 2004

                www.europa.eu.int

EUROPE

United Kingdom        Sweden        Finland        Portugal

Austria        The Netherlands        Luxembourg        Italy

Ireland        France        Spain        Greece

Germany        Denmark        Belgium        Estonia

Czech Republic        Cyprus        Latvia        Lithuania

Hungary        Malta        Poland        Slovenia

Slovakia

European Business Environment

Teacher: Stephen Campbell

(BS 212-2)

Student number B28, January 2004

1.        Enlargement is the main challenge for the European Union. How will this affect the political and economic future of the European Union?

In May 2004 the European Union will welcome 10 new member states: Slovenia, Latvia, Czech Republic, Poland, Malta, Slovak Republic, Hungary, Estonia, Cyprus and Lithuania. And the next enlargement is already planned for 2007. The three applicant countries for will join the EU in 2007 are Bulgaria, Rumania and Turkey. (www.manfred-jahreis.de). This means that the EU will be the biggest domestic market in the world. (www.randzio-plath.de) With around 455 million habitants and will be even bigger than the NAFTA (North Atlantic Free Trade Area) who is at the moment the biggest free trade area on the world with 413 million habitants. (www.sachsen.de)

This enlargement has many advantages for the new countries but also for the EU. For new Member States membership offers the chance of political stability (important as many of the new Member States are young democracies), an enlargement of the market, a lower risk of war as economic stability usually means less threat of uprisings or coup dretals. An important political advantage is that as the new countries are neighbouring to Russia and Ukraine that means that the EU will get nearer to these two important countries and this is a good way to cooperate with them. (www.tucnak.fsv) Another advantage for the enlargement is that XXXX European Citizens will use the Euro and means that the Euro will become of the strongest currencies all over the world. Even if there are a lot of advantages there are also disadvantages by enlarging the EU. It starts already with the specific problems of the new countries, they have to fulfil the guidelines of the European Union regarding technical, social, political and economic aspects and they have also to manage the convergence criteria of Maastrich (inflation rate no more than 1.5 percentage points above that of the three best-performing Member States; a government deficit which does not exceed 3% of GDP; a ratio of public debt to GDP which does not exceed 60%; currency variations within the normal fluctuation margins of the ERM for at least two years; a long-term interest rate (12-month average) not more than 2 percentage points above that of the three best-performing Member States. (www.euro-conversion-tools.com)

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This may be very difficult for some countries to meet. Some examples of the areas that the new countries don’t fulfil are. (www.mdr.de)

  • Liberalness: Recognition of the career diplomas, education in the health service
  • Agriculture and fishing: Control of the quality of goods and animals
  • Competition: allowance of the states changing the different structures
  • Transport: security in the shipping transport, handicaps in the road transport
  • Taxes: problems with the value added tax
  • Customs house: automatisation of the systems
  • Social policy: equality of men and women, legislation of work (www.economist.com)

There are also other difficult tasks to ...

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