This paper examines the validity of the use of existence value in cost-benefit analysis, blending together tools of economic theory and metaethical value analysis.

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Project Analysis                Aly-Khan Hirani

154-525                110248412

        11th April 2003

Existence Value

The Theoretical Case for and Against its Use in Cost Benefit Analysis

11th April 2003

Abstract

This paper examines the validity of the use of existence value in cost-benefit analysis, blending together tools of economic theory and metaethical value analysis.  The technical issues of definition and the theoretical justification for using the contingent valuation method is discussed. This is followed by a consideration of what existence value is trying to categorize, and whether the ‘welfarist’ approach embedded in neoclassical welfare analysis is an appropriate framework for understanding such values.  Finally, arguments for and against the use of existence value in cont-benefit analysis are assessed, concluding in a ‘third way’ that accepts the it as a valid category of values to be considered in the project evaluation process, but asserts that the total valuation framework is not an appropriate method for assessing existence value for both economic and metaethical reasons.

Aly-Khan Hirani

McGill University

110248412

Course 154-525

Professor R. Cairns


1. Introduction: the current debate

“Whether or not nonuse values fit neatly into some regimented, atheoretic, cost-benefit manual is irrelevant in a sense.  The fact is that nonuse values are consistent with neoclassical welfare theory and this theory provides a solid foundation upon which to help evaluate the desirability of many public policies”

R. J. Kopp

“Calculations of existence value in essence seek to employ formal economic methods to resolve matters of cultural symbolism and social ideology… it is a mistake for economists now to try to resolve such basic social disagreements in a quantitative way through cost-benefit and other formal analytic methods.”

D. H. Rosenthal and R. H. Nelson

The concept of existence value was first raised in one of the most influential papers in environmental economics by John Krutilla (1967), where he advocated a move away from the Pigouvian approach to conservation of natural resources in terms of the optimal intertemporal utilization of natural resource stocks to an appreciation of several unique features of such resources.  These included non-renewability, the possibility of option value, and existence, or nonuse, value.  Krutilla was advocating nothing less than pushing back the boundaries of the discipline: economists should consider more than just the valuation of common tangibles.  The controversy that this assertion caused remains today, and divides most economists into two camps.  Those such as Rosenthal and Nelson suggest that existence values are not to be treated merely as another type of good, as they represent something quite different, while those such as Kopp believe that what existence value is is not as important as the fact that we can envision it as consistent with neoclassical theory, and therefore are warranted in measuring it in a total valuation framework.

To assess the validity of these competing claims, the appropriate domain of discussion requires more than just the tools of economic analysis.  As Portney (1994) writes: “…the critical scrutiny directed at the contingent valuation method has led some economists to think more deeply about cognitive processes, rationality, and the nature of preferences for all goods, public or private”.  This paper is primarily concerned with the last area that Portney identifies: the nature of preferences and whether existence value generates preferences that can validly be compared with preferences for more conventional economic goods.  Preferences are derived from the relative valuations that individual agents hold for various goods.  This takes our discussion into the domain of value judgment: a subject more commonly attributed to metaethics.  This paper blends the approaches of analysis of both economic theory and metaethics for a definite purpose: while this is an economic issue, discussions of motivation, agency and value are more fruitfully analyzed using a combination of tools from both disciplines.

Krutilla suggested that a person’s wellbeing is not merely dependent on the physical goods and services they consume, but also on the various states of knowledge they have of the existence of social and physical characteristics of the world.  This position was subsequently developed: implicitly, consumers should be willing to pay something for this form of consumption, so there must be some way of measuring these values in dollar terms.  More precisely, modern definitions of existence value (such as Kopp, 1992) suggest that existence value is really about the enjoyment of a nonconsumptive service without engaging in any observable behavior.  Nonconsumptive services, which yield nonuse value, are non-excludable, non-rivalrous, and often can be enjoyed without any monetary expenditure.  Hence existence or nonuse values can be considered values for pure public goods.  Since economists such as Samuelson have believed that public goods should be treated in the same welfare theoretic structure as private goods, it is reasonable to believe that a nonconsumptive service that is provided by a natural resource can be treated in the same welfare framework, giving rise to the motivation to measure existence value in dollar terms using some form of compensating or equivalent variation measure.  If this is true, then we do not need to rethink our descriptions of consumption to justify existence values, and instead can focus on how to describe the public good services underlying nonuse values.  Amongst the majority economists that practice cost-benefit analysis, this is the position held today.

Initially, little attention was paid to the development of the concept in the early 1970s.  However, as potential uses grew and the policy stakes rose, a debate has arisen in the economics professions as to the appropriateness of measuring existence value and whether it is possible to measure it.  More recently, the Exxon Corporation, faced with large potential damage assessments as a result of the Exxon Valdez oil spill of the coast of Alaska and concerned that a damage assessment grounded in the possible existence values across various states of nature for the Prince William Sound region, hired a group of leading economists to assess the appropriateness of including existence value.   Their evaluation was overall negative, while the State of Alaska and the U.S. Federal government’s group of economists took a more positive view.  Shortly afterwards, the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Association (NOAA) convened a panel of leading economists, including Kenneth Arrow and Robert Solow, to review the issue.  The panel ended in a compromise: although great care should be taken to avoid misuse, existence value should be included among the tools available to government analysts (Arrow et al. 1993).  The issue remains unresolved, and debate continues.

This paper provides an overview of the issue of existence value and the validity of its inclusion in cost-benefit analysis.  A consensus is emerging along the lines of the NOAA position.  This paper challenges that position using techniques both from economic and meta-ethical theory.  

The aim here is not to demonstrate that existence value is not validly measured in the total valuation method, but rather it attempts to change the terms of the debate by showing that the confidence placed in the dominant methodology is misplaced.  There is a belief implicit in the notion of total valuation that the object of cost-benefit analysis should be to provide a complete measure of all the costs and benefits of any given proposal.  It shall be argued that this is not the case, that existence value supervenes on ethical beliefs and that therefore existence value cannot be evaluated in the inherently ‘welfarist’ approach to be found in the neoclassical view that treats individuals as rational egoists.  Nevertheless, existence value exists, and it should be taken into consideration.  It shall be shown that the economic understanding of value is instrumental: goods have value inasmuch as individuals attribute value to them.  Instrumentality of value inherently requires that prices are relative prices: if a good has no inherent value, it is nonsensical to suggest that it has a price that can be defined abstracted from other goods is nonsensical.  If it can be shown that existence values can be inherent values, then it is possible that existence values for goods are noncomparable and therefore not coherently expressed as relative values, and therefore it is possible that using the total valuation method may be inappropriate. The onus is therefore on the advocates of using existence value to show that this is not the case.

There are both technical problems of measurement and substantive problems of the genus of values that can be adequately be assessed in a ‘welfarist’ framework such as economics.  In section two, technical issues are dealt with: the appropriate definition of existence value, methods of measurement (i.e. contingent valuation methods – CVM), problems with CVM and the possibility of using indirect methods to estimate existence value are discussed.  In section three, the meta-ethical side issues of the importance of motive on the assessment of existence value, the validity of psychological egoism implicit in neoclassical economics are discussed and the case against considering existence value as a conventional pure public good is made.

This paper is directed towards the informed economist, rather than the philosopher, and the mode of analysis shall be skewed accordingly.  For brevity, a working knowledge of cost-benefit analysis, and in particular the Contingent Valuation Method (CVM) is assumed, as is a good knowledge of welfare economics, in particular Hicksian and Marshallian demands and Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem.  Conversely, the metaethical analysis should be accessible to the general interested reader: no undefined terminology or symbolic logic is used.


2. Definitions and Measurement of Existence Value

2.1 A Definition of Existence Value

Economic theory is inclusive about possible conceptions of value or benefits: what counts as a benefit is not delimited by the act of use or by the presence of a commercial transaction.  Instead, an action has benefits or value in the economic sense if that action increases the availability of something that is scarce at the margin, given that that ‘something’ is desired by someone.  In other words, so long as something could conceivably be expressed as an argument in a utility function, it can be considered an economic benefit.  In order to define existence value, we therefore need to show how existence value enters an individual’s utility function.

The most common route (e.g. V. Kerry Smith, 1993; D. M. Larson, 1993; McConnell, 1983) starts from the notion of total value.  Total economic value (TV) is uniquely defined, and decomposes into existence value and various categories of existence value.

Consider an individual with the utility function:

[1]        

where x is environmental services, Q is the state of the environment, z is a vector of ordinary goods and services.  The subscripts denote: e, existence; s, site experience; 1, activity 1 at the site (i.e. a type of use value); and 2, activity 2.

The solution to the problem:

[2]        

        s.t.

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is the expenditure function:

[3]        

Here the price vector p is taken as exogenous, and is therefore implicit in [3].  We can now define TV in terms of Hicksian compensating variation:

[4]        

p* represents the choke price, po is the baseline price, and Qo is the baseline level of resource quality.  Since existence values are unpriced, p*e is a shadow price (the price that would be efficient where the efficient price is absent) so that a virtual market in the existence value would clear if efficient markets existed.

Equation [4] is a one-shot, holistic measure of total value that does not disaggregate its different components. ...

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