Module No. 2: Adaptation Assessment Methodology
Activity 2.1: Adaptation Assessment Methodology Development
Activity 2.2: Review of Initial V&A Assessments
Activity 2.3: Prioritization of Sectors Affected by Climate Change
Module 3: Adaptation Assessments and Plan of Actions
Activity 3.1: Detailed Adaptation Analysis of Priority Sectors
Activity 3.2: Development of Proposals for Priority Activities
Activity 3.3: Synthesis of Detailed Sectoral Adaptation Analyses
Module No. 4: Preparation of the National Adaptation Program of Action
Activity 4.1: Preparation and Presentation of the Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan
Activity 4.2: Review of Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan
Activity 4.3: NAPA Document Dissemination
4. Expected Outputs / Benefits of the Project:
Risks of the project
- As there are various sectors to consider as well as stakeholders in each sector, conflicts can arise in the prioritization process. The prioritization process and the selection criteria that will be developed will take into consideration this aspect, and as such will come up with procedures for resolving disagreements between stakeholder groups. The bases of the procedures and selection criteria will be presented in a transparent way to all stakeholders, including members of the high-level support network.
- It is very critical that people understand the linkage between climate change and sustainable development, to ensure that the NAPA is linked to the framework of the larger community. In the sub-national consultation workshops, the NAPA Team will carry out awareness raising activities to show that the NAPA share common concerns and help support achieving broader sustainable development goals.
- Dissemination Plan of the Project
Activity 1.1: NAPA Formulation Project Management Arrangements
The national climate change focal point will establish a Project Management Office (PMO) within MOEF and the Secretary of the MOEF will be the National Project Director (NPD). The NPD will supervise activities, ensure the timely provision of government inputs and be responsible to the Government for the achievement of results and outputs. A National Project Coordinator (NPC) will be recruited to work full time in the coordination and the implementation of the prescribed work plan. The PMO will carry out initial coordination work with relevant institutions on the preparations for the establishment of the NAPA Team, which will carry out the tasks of formulating the NAPA of Bangladesh.
Activity 1.2: NAPA Process Initiation and Management
As required by the NAPA Guidelines, a team will be created to formulate the NAPA. This will involve an open and flexible process that is inclusive and transparent, and will result in the formation of the Bangladesh NAPA Team, comprising representatives/experts of the lead agency and other key players, including stakeholders such as members of relevant government agencies, regional and local authorities, the production, consumption and service sectors and civil society organizations. The national climate change focal point will endorse this team (hereinafter referred to as the NAPA Team). Core members of the climate change enabling activity project (CCEAP), particularly those who were directly involved in the V&A assessments, will be considered during the formation of the NAPA Team. At the very least, they will be consulted and/or utilized, as resource persons in the preparation of the NAPA. The NAPA Team will be composed of the following agencies: DOE, Forest Dept, Dept. of Fisheries, SAPARRSO, WARPO, BWDB, Disaster Management Bureau, BMDA, BARC, DAE, NIPSOM, BIDS, BUET, Dhaka University, BCAS, BUP, IUCN, FEJB.
Activity 1.3: Advocating Support from Government Authorities
A Project Steering Committee (PSC) composed of senior level officials of the government agencies and stakeholder groups that were involved in the CC process in Bangladesh CCEAP will be established. The PSC will provide guidance and support to the implementation of the NAPA project activities and ensure the delivery of the required outputs.
Activity 1.4: Stakeholders’ Consultation
In order to address the concerns of Bangladeshi citizens regarding climate change, a number of consultations will be held with multi-stakeholder involvement. These consultations will serve the purpose of introducing and promoting the project (objectives, activities and outputs), getting guidance and feedback from the regions, and identifying participants in future project activities.
Activity 1.5: Assembly of Multi-Disciplinary Teams
The NAPA team has to be multi-disciplinary, composed of expert/individuals from a variety of sectors and government agencies, private sector, civil society in order to ensure that the final NAPA document will be comprehensive and covers the social, economic and environmental aspects of sustainable development. This will also, among others, ensure that the NAPA Team has sufficiently high profile to be able to work closely with policy makers in relevant sectors and in government planning agencies; and that at least one senior-level member in the team comes from the country’s main planning agency.
A participatory approach will be applied in the NAPA formulation process through the formation of multi-disciplinary teams, hereinafter referred to as sectoral working groups (SWGs).
The number of SWGs to be established will be based on the findings from the previous GEF-funded climate change enabling activities project (CCEAP) in the country. Consultations with various government agencies and NGOs that are currently working in the area of environment and climate change revealed that water is the overarching sector that has to be addressed by the NAPA.
Module No. 2: Adaptation Assessment Methodology
This module will involve the design and development of the methodology that will be utilized in the assessment of adaptation to climate change; the conduct of the assessments/reviews; and, the prioritization of the sectors that will be covered in the NAPA of Bangladesh.
Activity 2.1: Adaptation Assessment Methodology Development
This activity will come up with the procedures that will be used in the assessments. It will also include the design of a systematic way of data collation, processing, verification and review. Lastly, under this activity, a process for reviewing the assessments made will also be devised.
A national V&A expert will support and guide the SWGs in carrying out V&A assessments. This national expert will devise and propose an assessment methodology most suited to Bangladesh based on the objectives of the NAPA, the envisioned outputs, and the available literature and data on the impacts of climate change and climate variability in the country. He/She will ensure that participatory approaches will be built into the assessment methodology.
A group made up of the SWG technical experts will finalize the assessment methodology drafted by the V&A expert who will also guide the work of the group. The methodology will be reviewed and critiqued by the rest of the NAPA Team. By consensus among the NAPA Team members, the proposed methodology will be approved for use in the assessments that will be carried out in conjunction with the NAPA formulation.
Activity 2.2: Review of Initial V&A Assessments
This major activity will involve a comprehensive review of previous studies that were done in the country that among others, looked into how the country can think about adaptation to climate change; the key threats (critical impacts) to the greater goal of sustainable development; the socio-economic causes of vulnerability to climate change (e.g., level of development); and, how different development paths may affect the country’s ability to cope with climate change.
It will verify the viability of the previously suggested strategic adaptations to climate change for policy makers and to give a practical demonstration of adaptation measures that could become part of a worked out strategy. The review of the previous and ongoing studies on the subject will determine the gaps that remain in the formulation of development plans, policies and decisions that affect the capacity of climate sensitive systems to cope with climate change.
The NAPA Team will review the various studies made on climate change impacts to critical sectors in the country and documentations of recommended, planned and implemented adaptation measures, including the V&A assessments that were made in the CCEAP. It will also review and identify relevant past and current practices for adaptation to climate change and climate variability in other countries (particularly LDCs). Findings from the review/analysis of international and regional experiences in addressing vulnerability to the adverse effects of climate change, climate variability and extreme weather events, as well as long-term climate change will be compared to that in the country.
Activity 2.3: Prioritization of Sectors Affected by Climate Change
From the evaluation of the previous (and ongoing) studies and efforts carried out to address impacts of climate change, the sectors (e.g., agriculture, water resources, coastal zones, health, etc.) that will be addressed in the NAPA will be identified. Because of limited resources, there is a need to prioritize the sectors, thereby coming up with a NAPA that will focus on critical areas, those that needs immediate and urgent attention, or those wherein further delay in doing actions could increase vulnerability, or lead to increased costs at a later stage.
This activity will involve the design and development of a set of locally driven criteria and procedures that will be used in the identification and selection of sectors that will be addressed in the NAPA. The NAPA Team will organize and conduct a series of multi-tiered consultations with representatives from different segments of the society. This series of consultations will culminate in a national level consultative dialogue with all the relevant stakeholders to solicit views on what criteria should be considered in the prioritization of adaptation measures.
The criteria suggested in the NAPA guidelines, such as: (1) Level or degree of adverse effects of climate change; (2) Poverty reduction to enhance adaptive capacity; (3) Synergy with other MEAs; and, (4) Cost-effectiveness, will be considered. In addition, apart from financial considerations, there are other non-financial considerations, which the stakeholders could recommend to the NAPA Team. This could include giving priority to sectors that: (1) affect the greatest portion of the country’s population; (2) have more applicable adaptation measures; and, (3) have adequate capacity that could ensure effective implementation of planned adaptation measures.
The participatory process will be extended to the identification of priority sectors. With close coordination and consultation with stakeholders, the NAPA team will quantify the related impacts of climate change (and benefits from addressing such impacts) in the various sectors to a reasonable level of detail. The results of Activity 2.2 will be used in determining the impacts. The sectors will be prioritized objectively by ranking or scoring them using the set of criteria that was earlier developed.
As an anticipatory measure, the participatory process of criteria setting will come up with strategies that will avoid potential disagreements and conflicts with, and among, the various stakeholders. Citizen participation is the key to an effective NAPA. This means the NAPA process must have the concerted involvement of a broad spectrum of citizens and government agencies. This is the whole essence of integrating NAPA into the national and local development plans.
Based on the review of initial/previous V&A assessments, priority sectors will be selected for in-depth evaluation and adaptation action planning. A combined meeting of the SWGs will present and discuss the preliminary selection of sectors. Later, a national workshop will be held to agree on priority sectors.
Module 3: Adaptation Assessments and Plan of Actions
This module of the NAPA formulation project will involve the implementation of adaptation assessments in priority sectors of the country, and the development of adaptation actions to address the climate change impacts in such sectors.
Activity 3.1: Detailed Adaptation Analysis of Priority Sectors
Having identified the sectors that will be covered in the NAPA, the different SWGs will carry out detailed assessments of the sectors assigned to each of them. The assessment methodology that was developed in Activity 2.1 will be utilized in this exercise. Depending on what the approved methodology specified, each SWG is expected to carry out at least the following:
- Assess vulnerability to climate change, current climate variability and extreme weather events
- Assess where climate change is causing increases in associated risks
- Identify key climate-change adaptation measures, based, to the extent possible, on the vulnerability and adaptation assessments
- Identify measures that explore links and synergies with other established and/or planned national action plans under the United Nations Convention to Combat Desertification and national biodiversity strategies and action plans under the Convention on Biological Diversity.
- The assessments will come up with recommended adaptation measures and policy changes for the country that are complementary to the efforts for sustainable development, and are aimed at protecting the country’s natural resources and environment by reducing its vulnerability to climate change. These will also elaborate on applicable recommendations in previous studies that provide directions on how the potential effects of climate change and adaptation options can be factored into policy making.
The proposed assessment methodology will spell out the specific items that will be examined in doing the detailed adaptation analyses. Although the exact procedures are yet to be spelled out during the project, it is expected that these will include the evaluation of specific projects, programs and measures that would address the climate change impacts in an anticipatory manner rather than reactionary. These measures and projects (especially long-term projects) will be assessed in terms of: (1) whether they account for the impacts of climate change; (2) their relationship to adaptation needs (especially urgent and immediate needs); (3) the presence of initiatives that reduce the capacity of the country to respond to climate change; and, (4) their potential for increasing vulnerability to climate change. It is also expected that the methodology that will be proposed will specify the investigation of new tools that can ensure that climate change is incorporated in other related sustainable development planning exercise in the country.The NAPA Team will assess whether new policies are needed to support climate change adaptation efforts.
Activity 3.2: Development of Proposals for Priority Activities
The detailed assessments will recommend specific projects, programs and measures (for each priority sector) that will be considered for inclusion in the NAPA. This major activity will involve the development of the proposed plan of actions that will address needs arising from the adverse effects of climate change. The NAPA Team will:
- Conduct of participatory consultative workshops – The NAPA Team will organize several sub-national consultative workshops to solicit inputs and proposal ideas in order to help develop a short list of potential NAPA activities. The outputs of the detailed assessments carried out by the SWGs will be the bases of the workshop discussions. The NAPA Team will facilitate the workshops.
- Develop a set of country-driven criteria for selecting priority activities to address needs arising from the adverse effects of climate change - The NAPA Team will come up a set of criteria based on various actors (e.g., political, financial, cultural, technical) and a rating/scoring system that will be used for objectively selecting/prioritizing the proposed adaptation measures/activities.
- Prioritize adaptation measures - Based on the recommended climate change adaptation measures from the detailed assessments and from the workshops, as well as those that are linked with national action plans on land degradation and biodiversity conservation, the NAPA Team prioritize these measures based on the set of criteria that was developed. From the list of prioritized measures, the NAPA Team will screen each based on the rating system that is developed to rate and compare them.
Priority Rating Scores: 5 = High 3 = Moderate 1 = Low
- Develop proposals for the implementation of the priority measures – The NAPA team will prepare profiles of the projects to implement the prioritized measures, which will form part of the country’s National Adaptation Program of Action. The project profiles will be prepared based on the format prescribed by the NAPA Guidelines (See Annex 4)
The NAPA Team will make sure that whatever adaptation activities will be recommended these are in line with existing frameworks and plans. This aspect is particularly important if the proposed activity is something that is related to the safeguarding/maintenance/repair or rehabilitation of vital systems, including infrastructure that would be critical in achieving economic goals for the country.
Activity 3.3: Synthesis of Detailed Sectoral Adaptation Analyses
This activity will summarize the results of the detailed adaptation analyses that were carried out in the priority sectors. The national V&A expert will take a detailed review of the sectoral analysis reports prepared by the SWGs and prepare a synthesis report discussing priority activities addressing needs to cope with adverse effects of climate change.
Module No. 4: Preparation of the National Adaptation Program of Action
By this time the various adaptation assessments have been made in the priority sectors, and relationships with many interest and stakeholder groups have been developed. This module will come up with the NAPA of Bangladesh. The draft NAPA document will be prepared and presented to the public. It will undergo a series of reviews before it is finalized. The final NAPA document will be disseminated to various stakeholder groups in the national and local governments, civil society and the target groups of the various adaptation measures and projects identified and prioritized in the NAPA document.
Activity 4.1: Preparation and Presentation of the Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan
Based on outputs from Module No. 3, an integrated adaptation strategy and action plan will be prepared, which is the NAPA Document. This document will present prioritized activities to address impacts of adverse effects of climate change. It will also indicate how each priority activity is related/linked to ongoing and/or planned activities supporting sustainable development and those related land degradation and biodiversity conservation, as well as with other ongoing activities under other MEAs. It will also include a strategy for monitoring/evaluating the outcomes of the action-oriented adaptation options, possibly through activities supported by the project at a later time. It will also cover stakeholder roles and responsibilities; partners and partnership building; financing options; and time lines.
Activity 4.2: Review of Adaptation Strategy and Action Plan
The NAPA will be prepared in an iterative manner. The local citizens will review all drafts in a participatory manner through sub-national workshops. The review will be carried out through various means such as peer reviews and sub-national workshops, which could be either carried out under this NAPA formulation, and in co-sponsored workshops, programs and events. A team of government and civil society representatives, including the private sector, will review the NAPA document, including the project profiles. Solicitation of advice from the Least Developed Countries Expert Group (LEG) and UNDP-GEF/NCSU will also be considered. After each consultation, the draft is revised accordingly.
The NAPA Team will finalize the NAPA document considering all inputs from the consultations. The NAPA document will then be presented in a workshop with national and international stakeholders, and with good media coverage to provide an overall wrap up of the consensus building process. The finalized NAPA will be submitted to and approved by concerned Ministers. The national climate change focal point will provide the UNFCCC and LEG, UNDP-GEF/KL and UNDP-GEF/NCSU, copies of the NAPA document.
Activity 4.3: NAPA Document Dissemination
The NAPA document will be translated to the Bangladeshi language. This will be distributed to national and local government agencies and target groups that are specifically impacted on by adverse effects of climate change. To ensure effective dissemination, awareness raising, and “buy in” of the local citizenry, the NAPA Team will:
- Use Public Relations and Media Events – Through the assistance of the relevant government agencies, the NAPA document will be publicized. The Team will develop plans for the publication of a regular newsletter that tracks the progress of the NAPA implementation. For furthering the support of the relevant entities, the newsletter will also feature the people and organizations that are involved in the NAPA process. Publication of occasional articles on adaptation activities will also be considered. Adaptation projects that are already underway and that bring together some of the proposed goals/objectives of the NAPA will be featured in such articles. The key is to be VISIBLE.
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Identify and Use Champions – The NAPA Team will take advantage of the benefits derived from having a high-level support network. Successful programs typically have one thing in common - key leaders, such as those in the network, endorse them. The NAPA Team will convince these leaders to be champions for the NAPA. These could be well-respected business, government, and community leaders who believe and supports environmentally responsible development.
- Organize NAPA Awareness Campaigns – Where possible, the NAPA Team will include sessions on awareness raising in the various sub-national consultation meetings to explain and convince people of the need and benefits of adaptation measures to address impacts of climate change. The NAPA Team will consider methods such as: (1) Slide presentations; (2) Collection of articles on climate change adaptation programs or how other LDCs are benefiting from similar efforts; and, (3) Educational exhibits to take to meetings and fairs or put in public places.
- Expand Networks - For broader citizen support, the NAPA Team will help in the identification of several NAPA champions, and other organizations or interests that could assist in the widespread dissemination of the NAPA. It will also identify relevant environmental, housing, business, transportation, and other informal networks that could provide assistance in the NAPA dissemination, as well as other similar network relationships that should be started or enhanced.
Media campaigns and awareness raising workshops will also be conducted, making use of key players and opinion leaders to convey key messages and provide a constructive enabling environment for the ultimate implementation of the proposed urgent and immediate adaptation activities.
6. Action Plan (Gantt Chart): time plan of the project activities
The development and preparation of the Bangladesh NAPA is expected to take 18 months. Estimated start of project is April 2003 and completion is end July 2004.
NAPA Formulation Project Budget (US$)
Conclusion: Project: Monitoring and Evaluation
The project will be monitored and evaluated following UNDP-GEF rules and procedures. The Executing Agency (Department of Environment) will be required to prepare quarterly and annual work plans and to report to UNDP on progress in achieving targets. The Quarterly Progress Reports (QPRs) would provide a brief summary of the status of project inputs and output delivery, explain variances from the work plan, and present work plans for each successive quarter for review and endorsement. These quarterly reports will include financial statements and the work plan for the subsequent quarter. Annual Project Reports (APR’s) would provide a more in-depth summary of work-in-progress, measuring performance against both implementation and impact indicators. APR’s would inform decision-making by the Project Steering Committee, which would evaluate whether any adjustment in approach is required. A terminal report would be completed prior to the completion of the project detailing achievements and lessons learned.
The Department of Environment (DOE) will undertake continuous, self-monitoring. After GEF approval of the NAPA proposal brief it will be converted into a UNDP Project Document. Among the important items that will be included in the project document will be a detailed work program that will include the success indicators or objectively verifiable indicators for each activity that will be carried out under the NAPA formulation project. These indicators, which will be reviewed for their practicability and completeness prior to project implementation, are the parameters that have to be monitored by the DOE under the NAPA formulation project. Additional activities may be included (if necessary) to verify the attainment of some specific indicators. The extent by which the NAPA formulation project goal is achieved can be evaluated from the monitored results.
The DOE and UNDP-Dhaka shall be responsible that the overall monitoring and evaluation framework for the NAPA formulation project and together will appropriately and holistically assess the quality and appropriateness of the various outputs/results of the project activities vis-à-vis the adaptation and national development goals of the country.
Tri-Partite Review (TPR) organized by UNDP-Dhaka will be carried out. The DOE will prepare and submit to UNDP an Annual Project Report (APR) two months prior to the TPR meeting. APRs would provide a more in-depth summary of work-in-progress, measuring performance against both implementation and impact indicators. A Terminal Report would be completed prior to the completion of the project detailing achievements and lessons learned. UNDP will also undertake annual monitoring visits to the country to assess project developments in accordance with UNDP procedures for Monitoring and Evaluation.
Financial Reports will be prepared by the DOE and submitted to UNDP on a quarterly basis in accordance with the Guidelines for National Execution.
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